Le Mans vs Monaco Prediction

Le Mans
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Monaco
MMArena, Le Mans·Bastein Dechepy 08/11/2026
Le MansLe Mans
1-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Le Mans Rest
7 days
Monaco Rest
2 days

Le Mans vs Monaco: the result in context

Le Mans and Monaco drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 on 8 Nov 2026. Monaco had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Le Mans.

Monaco tend to win more corners, 4.0 a game to 2.0 for Le Mans.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.22
X
25%3.92
2
57%1.67
Double Chance
1X
43%2.19
X2
82%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.58 = 2.63
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
50%1.89
Over 3.5
29%3.19
Under 1.5
25%3.56
Under 2.5
50%1.93
Under 3.5
71%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.9 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.77
Over 9.5
39%2.23
Over 10.5
29%2.97
Under 8.5
49%1.98
Under 9.5
61%1.57
Under 10.5
71%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-1.46
Over 4.5
-1.90
Under 3.5
-2.63
Under 4.5
-1.88

Match Events

40'Mamadou Coulibaly
54'Aleksandr Golovin INParis Brunner out
54'Mathys Detourbet INTakumi Minamino out
54'Matthis Abline INFolarin Balogun out
66'Jean Vercruysse INAdnane Kharroubi out
66'Dame Gueye INErwan Colas out
67'Mamadou Coulibaly INJordan Teze out
74'Daouda Traore INAntoine Rabillard out
74'Louis Mafouta INWilliam Harhouz out
85'Lucas Buades INNoa Boissé out
88'Flavio Nazinho INChristian Mawissa out
90'Erwan Colas

Lineups

Le Mans
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Videira
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Luís
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.76
N. Kocik6.998N. Kocik
R. Bamba7.226R. Bamba
S. Yohou6.817S. Yohou
H. Voyer6.55H. Voyer
L. Bretelle6.729L. Bretelle
L. Buadés6.018L. Buadés
D. Traoré6.423D. Traoré
J. Vercruysse6.410J. Vercruysse
L. Calodat7.022L. Calodat
L. Mafouta6.314L. Mafouta
D. Guèye6.325D. Guèye
L. Hrádecký7.21L. Hrádecký
Vanderson6.72Vanderson
Sadibou Sané7.072S. Sané
E. Dier7.515E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho6.720F. Nazinho
D. Zakaria6.36D. Zakaria
L. Camara6.88L. Camara
M. Coulibaly7.728M. Coulibaly
A. Golovin6.310A. Golovin
M. Detourbet6.67M. Detourbet
M. Abline6.311M. Abline

Le Mans Substitutes

16Raúl Torrente
15N. Boissé85'for Lucas Buades5.9
28E. Colas66'for Dame Gueye90'8.1
20W. Harhouz74'for Louis Mafouta6.6
1E. Hatfout
76Y. Larouci
8A. Lauray
9A. Rabillard74'for Daouda Traore6.7
37Adnane Kharroubi66'replaced by Jean Vercruysse

Monaco Substitutes

9F. Balogun54'for Matthis Abline6.5
29Paris Josua Brunner54'for Aleksandr Golovin6.4
19Pape Cabral
37E. Diop
16P. Köhn
13C. Mawissa Elebi88'for Flavio Nazinho6.9
18T. Minamino54'for Mathys Detourbet6.5
4J. Teze67'for Mamadou Coulibaly6.6
49I. Touré

Match Stats

Le MansMonaco
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks7
18Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
16Fouls8
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
413Total Passes458
338Passes Accurate383
8Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Le MansLe Mans
MonacoMonaco
1640Elo Rating 1867
0.68Attack 1.46
1.01Defense 1.98
14%Hit Rate 44%
8.8Shots per Game 11.7
2.2Shots on Target 3.9
2.0Corners per Game 4.0
3.2Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Mans vs Monaco forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Le Mans and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco are 7th and Le Mans 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Mans 12-19, Monaco 13-11. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Le Mans and Monaco have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.