Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca Prediction

Sport Boys
4-2
Finished
HT 2-1
FC Cajamarca
Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao·Roberto Perez Gutierrez 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseHighGap-4.8%
Sport Boys Rest
8 days
FC Cajamarca Rest
7 days

Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca: the result in context

Sport Boys beat FC Cajamarca 4-2 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez averages 4.82 cards a game, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.65
X
25%3.86
2
24%4.75
Double Chance
1X
76%1.16
X2
49%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.11 = 2.89
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.69
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
22%3.92
Under 2.5
44%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%-
Over 9.5
60%-
Over 10.5
48%-
Under 8.5
29%-
Under 9.5
40%-
Under 10.5
52%-
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
59%1.80
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
41%1.91

Match Events

13'José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez
31'Federico IllanesFoul
42'Penalty confirmedChristian Cueva
44'Christian Cueva(Penalty)
45'Federico Illanes INMiguel Trauco out
45+1'Christian CuevaAssist: Luis Urruti
54'Brandon PalaciosAssist: José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez
57'Pablo ErustesFoul
63'Emilio SabaAssist: Christian Cueva
73'José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón INP. Cejas out
75'Christian Cueva INGustavo Dulanto out
75'Yuriel Celi INJostin Alarcon out
80'Luis Urruti INPercy Liza out
82'Jostin AlarconAssist: Pablo Erustes
85'Paulo Goyoneche INCarlos Correa out
85'Brandon Palacios INMichel Rasmussen out
88'Pablo Erustes INRolando Diaz out

Lineups

Sport Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Desio
FC Cajamarca
4-2-3-1Coach: Santiago Acasiete
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.10
D. Melián6.022D. Melián
E. Saba6.917E. Saba
C. Zambrano6.73C. Zambrano
H. Riojas6.226H. Riojas
M. Llontop6.413M. Llontop
O. Mora6.824O. Mora
F. Illanes6.15F. Illanes
C. Cueva8.899C. Cueva
Y. Celi5.977Y. Celi
L. Urruti6.611L. Urruti
P. Erustes6.332P. Erustes
J. Medina5.63J. Medina
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani5.844C. Daniel Gómez Ccasani
J. Vega6.321J. Vega
Y. Vílchez5.795Y. Vílchez
J. Soto5.24J. Soto
P. Goyoneche6.225P. Goyoneche
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo6.118J. Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
C. Meza5.520C. Meza
B. Palacios6.917B. Palacios
M. Arrasco5.411M. Arrasco
J. Lugo8.277J. Lugo

Sport Boys Substitutes

14R. Díaz88'for Pablo Erustes6.5
55G. Dulanto75'for Christian Cueva6.2
4R. Alfani
10J. Alarcón75'for Yuriel Celi82'7.7
21A. Huamán
30P. Liza80'for Luis Urruti6.5
29N. Loyola
61J. Nolasco
47M. Trauco45'for Federico Illanes6.4

FC Cajamarca Substitutes

8Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval Sánchez
32P. Alegria
12S. Aspajo Cohen
88H. Camacho
9P. Cejas73'for José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón6.5
13C. Correa85'for Paulo Goyoneche5.8
31S. Enciso
2A. Pósito
6M. Rasmussen85'for Brandon Palacios6.3

Match Stats

Sport BoysFC Cajamarca
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls13
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
459Total Passes317
383Passes Accurate241
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Sport BoysSport Boys
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
1578Elo Rating 1471
0.87Attack 0.81
1.05Defense 1.47
17%Hit Rate 17%
13.1Shots per Game 15.5
3.7Shots on Target 5.2
4.2Corners per Game 3.0
3.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport BoysSport Boys
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Sport BoysSport Boys0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1Wins · 100%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División02/05/2026
FC CajamarcaSport Boys
32

Referee Profile

Roberto Perez Gutierrez137 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Roberto Perez Gutierrez4.82
Other referees5.50

4.82 cards a match, 0.68 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.50).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo301351244:46-244LLWDD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College301081245:56-1138LDDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua30771625:44-1928LWLWW
17ADTADT30691531:45-1427WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3044:4644
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3045:5638
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3025:4428
17ADTADT3031:4527
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LWLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LLWDD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1391323:15+828LLWDD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1364323:16+722LDDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua132478:20-1210LWLWW
17ADTADT131489:24-157WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1323:1528
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1323:1622
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua138:2010
17ADTADT139:247
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Boys and FC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Sport Boys are 11th and FC Cajamarca 15th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Boys 34-33, FC Cajamarca 43-57. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sport Boys and FC Cajamarca have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.