FC Cajamarca vs Cusco Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
FC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
Cusco Rest
7 days
FC Cajamarca vs Cusco: the result in context
Cusco beat FC Cajamarca 2-1 in the Primera División on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Cusco tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 2.9 for FC Cajamarca.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.88
X28%3.50
235%2.17
Double Chance
1X65%1.61
X263%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.53
No32%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.42 = 2.85
Over 1.585%1.18
Over 2.559%1.62
Over 3.535%2.50
Under 1.515%4.28
Under 2.541%2.20
Under 3.565%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.8
Over 8.559%1.64
Over 9.546%2.06
Over 10.536%2.69
Under 8.541%2.10
Under 9.554%1.68
Under 10.564%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.75
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%1.95
Match Events
16'Ivan ColmanAssist: Nicolás Silva
26'José Mauricio Arrasco CalderónAssist: Carlos Meza
44'Penalty confirmedJosé Manzaneda
45'Carlos Correa INPaulo Goyoneche out
45+1'Facundo Callejo(Penalty)
55'Brandon PalaciosFoul
69'José Manzaneda INDiego Soto out
69'Ivan Colman INMarlon Ruidías out
73'Carlos Gómez INJosé Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez out
81'Nicolás Silva INJuan Manuel Tévez out
81'Carlos Diez INOswaldo Valenzuela out
86'Jefferson Orejuela INSebastien Pineau out
90+1'Diego SotoFoul
90+1'Jonathan MedinaFoul
Lineups
FC CajamarcaCusco
4-2-3-1Coach: Javier RabanalAvg ratingAvg rating
3J. Medina
44C. Daniel Gómez Ccasani
21J. Vega
95Y. Vílchez
31S. Enciso
13C. Correa
18J. Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
20C. Meza
11M. Arrasco
17B. Palacios
9P. Cejas
28P. Díaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
2C. Gamarra
3R. Lagos
14C. Diez
55J. Montaño
26N. Silva
10I. Colman
7J. Manzaneda
9F. CallejoFC Cajamarca Substitutes
32P. Alegria
12S. Aspajo Cohen
88H. Camacho
25P. Goyoneche45'for Carlos Correa
14A. Gutiérrez
77J. Lugo73'for Carlos Gómez
7S. Pineau86'for Jefferson Orejuela
8Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval Sánchez
5R. Suarez
Cusco Substitutes
99Miguel Silveira
88D. Soto69'for José Manzaneda90+1'
11J. Tévez81'for Nicolás Silva
16O. Valenzuela81'for Carlos Diez
77J. Herrera
6Á. Ampuero
17J. Alà Gutiérrez
13A. Vidal
24M. Ruidías69'for Ivan Colman
Match Stats
FC CajamarcaCusco 53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
1Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
417Total Passes382
354Passes Accurate316
10Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
FC CajamarcaCusco1417Elo Rating 1577
0.62Attack 0.83
0.02Defense 1.51
0%Hit Rate 36%
10.9Shots per Game 15.9
4.4Shots on Target 4.9
2.9Corners per Game 5.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cusco- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
FC Cajamarca0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Cusco1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
23/04/2026CuscoFC Cajamarca10
Recent Form
FC Cajamarca3W1D6L
12/09/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Comerciantes UnidosFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Atletico GrauFC Cajamarca
Universitario
FBC MelgarFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo GarcilasoFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC Cajamarca12
W04/09/2026FC CajamarcaCienciano25
L28/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca23
W21/08/2026FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau13
L16/08/2026FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
L09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
W01/08/2026FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo02
L27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
L17/07/2026FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College22
D26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
LCusco5W0D5L
12/09/2026CuscoFBC MelgarCiencianoCuscoDeportivo GarcilasoCuscoCuscoJuan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes UnidosCuscoCuscoUTC CajamarcaUniversitarioCuscoCusco
Alianza Atletico
CuscoFBC Melgar01
L06/09/2026Cusco
UCV Moquegua
31/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
WCiencianoCusco12
W23/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
L15/08/2026CuscoJuan Pablo II College20
W07/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
L02/08/2026CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
W25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
L19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
W29/06/2026CuscoCienciano
CuscoCienciano12
LReferee Profile
4.71Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 66% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 57:37 | +20 | 60 | LDWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 45 | WDLDW |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 | LWDWW |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 | DWWWL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 32 | 57:37 | 60 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 32 | 37:35 | 45 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | LDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | WDLDW |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:22 | +11 | 31 | LDWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 25 | WDLDW |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 15 | 33:22 | 31 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 15 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
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- Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso 13/09/26
- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs ADT 19/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau 19/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario 20/09/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys 20/09/26
- Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca 20/09/26
About the FC Cajamarca vs Cusco forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Cajamarca and Cusco in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Cusco are 6th and FC Cajamarca 16th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Cajamarca 46-65, Cusco 46-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Cajamarca and Cusco have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.