Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano Prediction

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo·Mike Palomino 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Cienciano Rest
6 days

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano: result, form and history

Comerciantes Unidos beat Cienciano 3-1 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Cienciano had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Comerciantes Unidos.

Cienciano have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Cienciano tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 4.4 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.88
X
27%3.38
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.56
X2
68%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.52 = 2.87
Over 1.5
77%1.21
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.78
Under 1.5
23%3.85
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
67%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.4 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.67
Over 9.5
59%2.10
Over 10.5
47%2.82
Under 8.5
30%2.07
Under 9.5
41%1.66
Under 10.5
53%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.98
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%1.75

Match Events

26'Matias SuccarFoul
30'Goal confirmedJhon Sánchez
31'Jhon SánchezAssist: Yimy Gamero
38'Yimy GameroFoul
45'Marcos Martinich INGonzalo Aguirre out
45'Carlos Cabello INRay Sandoval out
47'Agustín RodríguezFoul
50'Matias SuccarAssist: Santiago Arias
54'Gonzalo AguirreFoul
65'Jhon Sánchez INJean Olivares out
72'Josuee Herrera INPiero Guzmán out
72'Daniel Lino INAlexis Cossio out
75'Jose Antonio·Parodi INThiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar out
76'Yimy Gamero INWilter Ayovi out
76'Gerson Barreto INHenry Caparo out
79'Neri Bandiera INSebastian Cavero out
79'Claudio Nuñez INRotceh Aguilar out
84'Maximiliano AmondarainFoul
90+1'Rodrigo VilcaAssist: Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar
90+6'Juan RodríguezAssist: Jean Olivares
90+10'Red card cancelledSebastian Cavero
90+10'Goal confirmedJean Olivares

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Biaggio
Cienciano
4-2-3-1Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.28
1717M. Cordova
J. Parodi6.220J. Parodi
F. Alcedo6.940F. Alcedo
J. Rodriguez7.26J. Rodriguez
D. Lino7.019D. Lino
A. Rodríguez6.418A. Rodríguez
Y. Gamero7.454Y. Gamero
J. Herrera6.311J. Herrera
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta8.225R. Gary Vilca Betetta
J. Sánchez7.932J. Sánchez
M. Sen6.59M. Sen
G. Falcón7.91G. Falcón
C. Núñez6.013C. Núñez
M. Amondarain5.34M. Amondarain
K. Becerra5.93K. Becerra
M. Martinich6.416M. Martinich
G. Barreto6.288G. Barreto
S. Arias6.75S. Arias
N. Bandiera5.611N. Bandiera
C. Cabello6.122C. Cabello
C. Souza7.27C. Souza
M. Succar7.319M. Succar

Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes

14Thiago Salinas75'for Jose Antonio·Parodi6.6
8W. Ayoví76'for Yimy Gamero7.1
10M. Carpio
99José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
15A. Cossio72'for Daniel Lino6.7
30P. Guzmán72'for Josuee Herrera6.6
50J. Olivares65'for Jhon Sánchez6.7
28O. Pinto
13M. Pérez

Cienciano Substitutes

27A. Yovera
17R. Sandoval45'for Carlos Cabello6.3
25R. Salazar
31Í. Espinoza
99Nadhir Colunga
14S. Cavero79'for Neri Bandiera5.7
39H. Caparó76'for Gerson Barreto6.0
8G. Aguirre45'for Marcos Martinich54'5.9
26R. Aguilar79'for Claudio Nuñez6.2

Match Stats

Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls17
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
343Total Passes303
249Passes Accurate210
73%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
CiencianoCienciano
1503Elo Rating 1615
1.24Attack 1.09
0.86Defense 2.05
0%Hit Rate 50%
14.0Shots per Game 19.0
4.9Shots on Target 6.0
4.4Corners per Game 7.2
1.8Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos0Wins · 0%
Draws120%
CiencianoCienciano4Wins · 80%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División03/05/2026
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
10
Primera División08/08/2025
Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
11
Primera División10/03/2025
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
32
Primera División13/07/2024
Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
12
Primera División28/01/2024
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
10

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo301351244:46-244LLWDD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College301081245:56-1138LDDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua30771625:44-1928LWLWW
17ADTADT30691531:45-1427WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3044:4644
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3045:5638
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3025:4428
17ADTADT3031:4527
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LWLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LLWDD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1391323:15+828LLWDD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1364323:16+722LDDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua132478:20-1210LWLWW
17ADTADT131489:24-157WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1323:1528
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1323:1622
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua138:2010
17ADTADT139:247
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Comerciantes Unidos and Cienciano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cienciano are 6th and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 41-44, Cienciano 50-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.