FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

FC Cajamarca
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca·Edwin Ordonez 28/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
FC Cajamarca Rest
2 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
5 days

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history

UTC Cajamarca beat FC Cajamarca 3-1 in the Primera División on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Edwin Ordonez averages 4.76 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.08
X
27%3.50
2
30%3.10
Double Chance
1X
70%1.29
X2
57%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.23 = 2.84
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.83
Under 1.5
23%3.85
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.78
Over 9.5
54%2.25
Over 10.5
42%3.04
Under 8.5
35%1.93
Under 9.5
46%1.54
Under 10.5
58%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
60%-
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
40%-

Match Events

20'Marlon de JesúsAssist: Adolfo Muñoz
21'Marlon de Jesús
25'Arquímedes FigueraFoul
45'Joshua Cantt INDavid Dioses out
52'Card upgrade confirmedPaulo Goyoneche
52'Paulo GoyonecheSerious foul
56'Adolfo Muñoz INLuis Arce out
56'Michel Rasmussen INCarlos Correa out
57'Dylan Caro INCarlos Junior Huerto out
64'Carlos Meza INP. Cejas out
67'Marlon de Jesús INAbdiel Arroyo out
71'Marcos LliuyaAssist: David Dioses
75'R. Suárez INJonathan Betancourt out
76'José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez INArthur Alexander Gutiérrez Inga out
81'Abdiel Arroyo(Penalty)
84'David Camacho INSantiago Gálvez out
88'S. EncisoAssist: Jonathan Betancourt

Lineups

FC Cajamarca
4-2-3-1Coach: Santiago Acasiete
UTC Cajamarca
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Molins
Avg rating6.16
Avg rating6.97
J. Medina5.93J. Medina
R. Suarez6.266R. Suarez
J. Vega6.221J. Vega
Y. Vílchez6.795Y. Vílchez
S. Enciso7.431S. Enciso
P. Goyoneche5.164P. Goyoneche
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo6.018J. Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
C. Meza5.820C. Meza
M. Rasmussen5.790M. Rasmussen
B. Palacios6.517B. Palacios
J. Lugo6.377J. Lugo
Á. Campos6.71Á. Campos
L. Garro6.817L. Garro
B. Duarte7.12B. Duarte
F. Cavagna6.86F. Cavagna
D. Caro6.713D. Caro
J. Cerro6.915J. Cerro
A. Figuera6.316A. Figuera
D. Camacho6.322D. Camacho
M. Lliuya8.210M. Lliuya
A. Muñoz7.319A. Muñoz
M. de Jesús7.89M. de Jesús

FC Cajamarca Substitutes

32P. Alegria
12S. Aspajo Cohen
88H. Camacho
27J. Betancourt75'for R. Suárez5.9
99P. Cejas64'for Carlos Meza6.4
69C. Correa56'for Michel Rasmussen6.3
65A. Gutiérrez76'for José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez5.9
80Valentino Ybrahin Sandoval Sánchez
26H. Timaná

UTC Cajamarca Substitutes

5J. Huerto57'for Dylan Caro6.8
7J. Nunez
8D. Dioses45'for Joshua Cantt7.1
21R. Bettocchi
29I. Barrios
11A. Arroyo67'for Marlon de Jesús81'7.8
88L. Arce56'for Adolfo Muñoz6.5
35G. Paredes
18S. Gálvez84'for David Camacho6.5

Match Stats

FC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
2Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots0
14Fouls13
2Goalkeeper Saves4
399Total Passes395
334Passes Accurate328
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
1471Elo Rating 1403
0.81Attack 0.74
1.47Defense 1.26
17%Hit Rate 0%
15.5Shots per Game 14.7
5.2Shots on Target 6.0
3.0Corners per Game 2.9
2.3Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
31
Primera División08/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
12

Referee Profile

Edwin Ordonez145 matches

4.76Cards per match
4.46Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edwin Ordonez4.76
Other referees5.47

4.76 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.47).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca are close in the Primera División table, 16th and 18th, with 13 points between them. League goal record so far: FC Cajamarca 43-57, UTC Cajamarca 33-54. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.