Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas Prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco·Jordi Espinoza 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel66%SurpriseHighGap-4.2%
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
8 days
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Rest
9 days

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: result, form and history

Deportivo Garcilaso beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 4-1 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.84 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.57
X
24%3.88
2
18%5.22
Double Chance
1X
82%1.13
X2
42%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.88 = 2.89
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
22%3.99
Under 2.5
44%2.08
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 3.6 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.65
Over 9.5
57%2.06
Over 10.5
46%2.67
Under 8.5
32%2.10
Under 9.5
43%1.68
Under 10.5
54%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
49%2.00
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
51%1.72

Match Events

7'Xavi Moreno Layme INJoao Neitan Mendoza Ayala out
12'Penalty cancelledPablo Labrin
18'Gonzalo RizzoFoul
20'Facundo CastelliAssist: Agustin Gonzalez
23'Francisco Arancibia INChristopher Olivares out
34'Carlos Ramos
45'Pablo Labrin INClaudio Torrejón out
45'Abdiel Ayarza INJarlin Quintero out
51'Oshiro TakeuchiFoul
54'Héctor GonzálezDissent
54'Christopher OlivaresAssist: José Anthony Rosell
62'Lisandro GreppoDissent
66'Jorge Palomino INKelvin Sanchez out
66'Gonzalo Rizzo INA. Campos out
66'Oshiro Takeuchi INMichael Kaufman out
67'Christopher OlivaresAssist: Facundo Castelli
68'Goal confirmedChristopher Olivares
73'Agustin GonzalezAssist: Beto Da Silva
74'Axel Chávez INDavid Martín Gonzáles García out
75'Facundo Castelli INS. Ramírez out
75'Beto Da Silva INL. Ríos out
84'L. RíosFoul
88'Kelvin SanchezFoul
90+2'Jarlin QuinteroAssist: Christian Velarde

Lineups

Deportivo Garcilaso
4-1-4-1Coach: Lisandro Greppo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5-3-2Coach: J. Balazar
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.15
P. Zubczuk6.61P. Zubczuk
A. Salazar6.72A. Salazar
A. Gómez7.119A. Gómez
X. Moreno6.623X. Moreno
A. Rosell8.020A. Rosell
A. González9.08A. González
F. Arancibia6.211F. Arancibia
P. Labrin6.510P. Labrin
C. Ramos7.018C. Ramos
L. da Silva7.730L. da Silva
F. Castelli9.09F. Castelli
H. Camacho7.31H. Camacho
O. Takeuchi5.618O. Takeuchi
C. Pimienta6.133C. Pimienta
H. González6.42H. González
G. Rizzo5.824G. Rizzo
A. Chávez5.716A. Chávez
C. Velarde6.817C. Velarde
J. Palomino6.55J. Palomino
A. Ayarza6.26A. Ayarza
F. Torres6.010F. Torres
M. Torres6.320M. Torres

Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes

33S. Villacorta
35J. Mendoza7'for Xavi Moreno Layme6.4
31J. Barbieri
27A. Ascues
24C. Olivares23'for Francisco Arancibia54'67'8.4
22J. Portales
17S. Ramírez75'for Facundo Castelli6.7
7L. Ríos75'for Beto Da Silva84'6.3
14C. Torrejón45'for Pablo Labrin6.6

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Substitutes

4A. Campos66'for Gonzalo Rizzo5.8
77F. Espinoza
26D. Gonzáles74'for Axel Chávez5.7
30M. Kaufman66'for Oshiro Takeuchi5.9
7J. Ospina
12L. Pretel
11J. Quintero45'for Abdiel Ayarza90+2'7.2
27K. Barrios
15K. Sánchez66'for Jorge Palomino88'5.6

Match Stats

Deportivo GarcilasoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
54%Ball Possession46%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
24Total Shots8
12Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots2
4Fouls19
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
358Total Passes302
290Passes Accurate237
18Free Kicks3

Team Comparison

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas
1661Elo Rating 1536
1.88Attack 0.90
1.25Defense 1.50
34%Hit Rate 27%
18.9Shots per Game 9.8
6.4Shots on Target 2.1
6.5Corners per Game 2.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+125 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División04/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDeportivo Garcilaso
01
Primera División19/07/2025
Deportivo GarcilasoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
30
Primera División10/02/2025
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDeportivo Garcilaso
22
Primera División29/09/2024
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDeportivo Garcilaso
10
Primera División29/04/2024
Deportivo GarcilasoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
11

Referee Profile

Jordi Espinoza31 matches

5.84Cards per match
5.45Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jordi Espinoza5.84
Other referees4.95

5.84 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.95).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua30771625:44-1928LWLWW
17ADTADT30691531:45-1427WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3025:4428
17ADTADT3031:4527
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LWLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua132478:20-1210LWLWW
17ADTADT131489:24-157WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua138:2010
17ADTADT139:247
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Garcilaso and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Garcilaso 45-30, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 39-50. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.