Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction

Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima·Joel Alarcon 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Universitario Rest
6 days
Juan Pablo II College Rest
7 days

Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College: the result in context

Universitario beat Juan Pablo II College 3-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 1. Referee Joel Alarcon averages 3.47 cards a game, 1.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.31
X
18%5.03
2
9%8.42
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
27%3.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 0.86 = 3.01
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
62%1.53
Over 3.5
41%2.36
Under 1.5
18%4.80
Under 2.5
38%2.30
Under 3.5
59%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
54%1.85
Over 10.5
43%2.37
Under 8.5
34%2.39
Under 9.5
46%1.85
Under 10.5
57%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%2.12

Match Events

52'Jack Carhuallanqui INJack·Duran out
52'Janio Pósito INMateo Rodríguez out
58'Pablo MiguezFoul
60'Edison Flores
64'Erinson Ramirez INC. Villanueva out
64'Nilton Ramirez INHéctor Bazán out
64'Edison Flores INLisandro Alzugaray out
65'Gianluca LapadulaAssist: Lisandro Alzugaray
70'Hugo Ancajima INPiero Antón out
75'César Inga INBryan Reyna out
76'Jairo Concha INPiero Quispe out
85'Anderson Santamaría INAldo Corzo out
85'Gianluca Lapadula INJosé Rivera out
87'Lisandro Alzugaray

Lineups

Universitario
3-4-1-2Coach: F. Bustos
Juan Pablo II College
4-4-2Coach: J. Araujo
Avg rating7.26
Avg rating6.07
D. Romero6.81D. Romero
C. Fara7.72C. Fara
W. Riveros7.83W. Riveros
A. Santamaría7.74A. Santamaría
A. Polo7.224A. Polo
H. Calcaterra6.910H. Calcaterra
J. Concha7.217J. Concha
C. Inga7.133C. Inga
É. Flores8.219É. Flores
G. Lapadula8.218G. Lapadula
A. Valera6.920A. Valera
M. Vega6.723M. Vega
H. Ancajima5.62H. Ancajima
A. Sánchez6.23A. Sánchez
P. Míguez5.960P. Míguez
J. Toledo6.131J. Toledo
E. Ramírez5.518E. Ramírez
J. Carhuallanqui5.714J. Carhuallanqui
C. Flores5.98C. Flores
J. Goicochea6.479J. Goicochea
J. Pósito6.689J. Pósito
N. Ramírez6.115N. Ramírez

Universitario Substitutes

15J. Requena
11J. Rivera85'for Gianluca Lapadula6.5
25M. Vargas
30Lisandro Joel Alzugaray64'for Edison Flores87'7.5
29A. Corzo85'for Anderson Santamaría7.0
8H. Fértoli
23J. Murrugarra
39P. Quispe76'for Jairo Concha6.8
77B. Reyna75'for César Inga6.6

Juan Pablo II College Substitutes

16Piero Alonso Antón Castillo70'for Hugo Ancajima6.3
20H. Bazán64'for Nilton Ramirez5.9
28J. Durán52'for Jack Carhuallanqui6.0
7A. Hendricks
13Bairon Alexander Puño Franco
12I. Quispe
97M. Rodríguez52'for Janio Pósito6.3
33M. Almirón
71C. Villanueva64'for Erinson Ramirez6.0

Match Stats

UniversitarioJuan Pablo II College
70%Ball Possession30%
9Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
30Total Shots2
11Shots on Goal0
12Shots off Goal2
21Shots Inside Box1
9Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots0
8Fouls17
0Goalkeeper Saves8
542Total Passes245
469Passes Accurate182
17Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

UniversitarioUniversitario
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
1699Elo Rating 1578
2.15Attack 2.02
1.05Defense 2.46
44%Hit Rate 63%
11.2Shots per Game 15.5
4.4Shots on Target 6.2
5.7Corners per Game 5.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

UniversitarioUniversitario
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

UniversitarioUniversitario2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1Wins · 33%
3.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera División03/05/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeUniversitario
14
Primera División06/10/2025
UniversitarioJuan Pablo II College
30
Primera División18/05/2025
Juan Pablo II CollegeUniversitario
20

Referee Profile

Joel Alarcon46 matches

3.47Cards per match
3.16Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joel Alarcon3.47
Other referees5.09

3.47 cards a match, 1.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso30156945:30+1551WWLLW
5CuscoCusco301531245:43+248DWWLW
6CiencianoCienciano301451150:43+747WDLWW
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas301371039:50-1146LLWWW
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo301351244:46-244LLWDD
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico301271145:44+143WWLLD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College301081245:56-1138LDDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau30971428:35-734LLWLD
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca30771643:57-1428WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua30771625:44-1928LWLWW
17ADTADT30691531:45-1427WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca30481833:54-2115LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3045:3051
5CuscoCusco3045:4348
6CiencianoCienciano3050:4347
7Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3039:5046
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3044:4644
10Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3045:4443
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3045:5638
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3028:3534
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3043:5728
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3025:4428
17ADTADT3031:4527
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3033:5415

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LLWWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WDLWW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DWWLW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WWLLD
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LDLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LWLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WLLDL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLWLD
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LLWDD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LDDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1391323:15+828LLWDD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1381424:12+1225WWLLW
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1364323:16+722LDDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1371525:26-122WWLLD
9CuscoCusco1370624:19+521DWWLW
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1353516:17-118LLWLD
12CiencianoCienciano1342716:21-514WDLWW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1333714:29-1512LLWWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1332820:29-911WLLDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua132478:20-1210LWLWW
17ADTADT131489:24-157WWDLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13021112:28-162LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1323:1528
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1324:1225
4Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1323:1622
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1325:2622
9CuscoCusco1324:1921
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1316:1718
12CiencianoCienciano1316:2114
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1314:2912
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1320:2911
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua138:2010
17ADTADT139:247
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1312:282
PromotionRelegation

About the Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universitario and Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Universitario are 2nd and Juan Pablo II College 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Universitario 52-34, Juan Pablo II College 45-56. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juan Pablo II College have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.