UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
UCV Moquegua Rest
7 days
Alianza Lima Rest
7 days
UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima: result, form and history
Alianza Lima beat UCV Moquegua 1-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Alianza Lima had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for UCV Moquegua.
Referee Edwin Ordonez averages 4.76 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
114%5.50
X23%3.73
263%1.59
Double Chance
1X37%2.25
X286%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%2.03
No51%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 2.04 = 3.12
Over 1.575%1.30
Over 2.552%2.02
Over 3.531%3.50
Under 1.525%3.13
Under 2.548%1.75
Under 3.569%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.7 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.75
Over 9.552%2.16
Over 10.541%2.85
Under 8.536%1.97
Under 9.548%1.59
Under 10.559%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.551%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.549%-
Match Events
61'Jeferson Collazos INBrayan Angulo out
62'Nicolas Chavez INA. Lecaros out
62'Gianfranco Chavez INCristian Carbajal out
63'Kevin Quevedo INGaspar Gentile out
72'Yorman ZapataFoul
72'Fernando GaiborArgument
74'Federico Girotti INLuis Ramos out
74'J García INAlan Martín Cantero out
82'Edgar Lastre INDiego Ramírez out
86'Fernando Gaibor INJesús Castillo out
87'Alan Martín CanteroAssist: Jairo Vélez
89'Pablo Adrián Guede BarrieroDissent
90+1'Cristian Mejía INY. López out
Lineups
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima
4-3-3Coach: P. GuedeAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. Grados
4A. Perleche
13J. Lojas
3C. Enciso
15N. Amasifuén
8C. Mejía
25R. Chipao
7E. Lastre
10N. Chávez
17Y. Zapata
90J. Collazos
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
6R. Garcés
32J. García
13M. Huamán
7F. Gaibor
4G. Chávez
20J. Vélez
27K. Quevedo
99F. Girotti
8E. CastilloUCV Moquegua Substitutes
14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
11B. Angulo61'for Jeferson Collazos
16Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas
29R. Figueroa
30J. Granda
24A. Lecaros62'for Nicolas Chavez
88Y. López90+1'for Cristian Mejía
22E. Montenegro
20D. Ramírez82'for Edgar Lastre
Alianza Lima Substitutes
31C. Carbajal62'for Gianfranco Chavez
11A. Cantero74'for J García87'
29J. Archimbaud
15J. Castillo86'for Fernando Gaibor
2N. Díaz
25G. Gentile63'for Kevin Quevedo
22C. Neira
9L. Ramos74'for Federico Girotti
12Á. de la Cruz
Match Stats
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima 44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots19
1Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots5
11Fouls4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
277Total Passes351
218Passes Accurate289
79%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima1468Elo Rating 1715
0.44Attack 1.96
1.15Defense 2.03
27%Hit Rate 69%
11.1Shots per Game 17.3
2.9Shots on Target 4.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.12 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
UCV Moquegua- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
UCV Moquegua0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Alianza Lima1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
03/05/2026Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua21
Recent Form
UCV Moquegua2W1D7L
18/10/2026
FC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II CollegeUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Sporting CristalUCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Sport HuancayoUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
FC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua01
W08/10/2026UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
20/09/2026UCV MoqueguaCienciano02
LJuan Pablo II CollegeUCV Moquegua40
L13/09/2026UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal12
L06/09/2026
CuscoUCV Moquegua
30/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
LUCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
L27/08/2026
ADTUCV Moquegua
22/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua20
LSport HuancayoUCV Moquegua02
W16/08/2026UCV MoqueguaSport Boys11
D09/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
LAlianza Lima4W3D3L
18/10/2026Alianza Lima
Atletico GrauCuscoAlianza LimaAlianza LimaADTAlianza Lima
UniversitarioJuan Pablo II CollegeAlianza LimaAlianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
FBC MelgarAlianza LimaSport BoysAlianza Lima
Alianza LimaAtletico Grau31
W12/10/2026CuscoAlianza Lima12
W01/10/2026Alianza Lima
Palestino
19/09/2026Alianza LimaPalestino12
LAlianza LimaADT20
W13/09/2026Alianza LimaUniversitario12
L06/09/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima11
D30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
L23/08/2026FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D16/08/2026Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
09/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
WSport BoysAlianza Lima11
DReferee Profile
4.76Cards per match
4.46Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.47).
Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:30 | +15 | 51 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45:43 | +2 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 50:43 | +7 | 47 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 46 | LLWWW |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45:44 | +1 | 43 | WWLLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 34 | LLWLD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 43:57 | -14 | 28 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31:45 | -14 | 27 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 15 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 45:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 50:43 | 47 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 39:50 | 46 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 45:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 28:35 | 34 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 43:57 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 25:44 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 31:45 | 27 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 33:54 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:12 | +12 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | +5 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12:28 | -16 | 2 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 14:29 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 20:29 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 8:20 | 10 |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 12:28 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico 24/10/26
- Cusco vs Sporting Cristal 24/10/26
- Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College 25/10/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano 25/10/26
- Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca 25/10/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26/10/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo 27/10/26
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua 28/10/26
About the UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Alianza Lima are 1st in the Primera División, while UCV Moquegua sit 16th, 37 points behind. League goal record so far: UCV Moquegua 25-44, Alianza Lima 50-20. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
UCV Moquegua and Alianza Lima have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.