ADT vs UCV Moquegua Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 14
Jordi Espinoza 28/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
ADT Rest
4 days
UCV Moquegua Rest
2 days
ADT vs UCV Moquegua: result, form and history
ADT beat UCV Moquegua 2-0 in the Primera División on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.84 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
167%1.44
X20%4.20
213%6.50
Double Chance
1X87%1.11
X233%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.83
No48%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.98 = 2.88
Over 1.578%1.20
Over 2.555%1.72
Over 3.534%2.71
Under 1.522%3.84
Under 2.545%2.06
Under 3.566%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.5 = 9.3
Over 8.558%1.70
Over 9.545%2.04
Over 10.534%2.54
Under 8.542%2.04
Under 9.555%1.68
Under 10.566%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.577%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.523%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
17'Juan Diego LojasDissent
18'Juan lucumi(Penalty)
37'Nicolas AmasifuenFoul
41'Card upgrade confirmedCristian Enciso
42'Cristian EncisoViolent conduct
45'Nicolas Amasifuen INEros Enrique Montenegro Chacón out
45'Edgar Lastre INY. López out
45'Cristian Mejía INJosé Luis Granda out
64'Brayan Angulo INJeferson Collazos out
66'Said PeraltaAssist: Alejandro Ramos
69'Yorman ZapataArgument
70'Luis PérezFoul
70'Angel OjedaDissent
73'Yorman Zapata INAllonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas out
73'Said Peralta INAylton Mazzo out
81'Orlando NunezArgument
84'Angel Ojeda INJ. Alvino out
84'Juan lucumiArgument
87'Juan lucumi INJhojan Garcilazo out
Lineups
ADTUCV Moquegua
4-2-3-1Coach: José SotoAvg ratingAvg rating
30J. Valencia
98A. Ramos
99J. Pereyra
44H. Benincasa
59O. Núñez
6Á. Ojeda
16L. Pérez
77J. David Lucumí Cuero
7J. Rojas
22A. Rodríguez
24S. Peralta
1C. Grados
4A. Perleche
13J. Lojas
3C. Enciso
15N. Amasifuén
20D. Ramírez
25R. Chipao
7E. Lastre
8C. Mejía
17Y. Zapata
11B. AnguloADT Substitutes
28J. Soto
26Jhojan Garcilazo87'replaced by Juan lucumi
10V. Cedrón
15Josué Alvino84'for Angel Ojeda
27A. Hidalgo
18Aylton Mazzo73'for Said Peralta
31J. Navarro
3L. Rugel
33C. Solís
UCV Moquegua Substitutes
90J. Collazos64'for Brayan Angulo
16Allonso Alberto Dávila Cárdenas73'for Yorman Zapata
29R. Figueroa
30J. Granda45'for Cristian Mejía
24A. Lecaros
88Y. López45'for Edgar Lastre
22E. Montenegro45'for Nicolas Amasifuen
10N. Chávez
14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
Match Stats
ADTUCV Moquegua 65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots0
7Fouls16
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
504Total Passes272
440Passes Accurate204
15Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
ADTUCV Moquegua1472Elo Rating 1468
0.50Attack 0.44
1.30Defense 1.15
0%Hit Rate 27%
19.1Shots per Game 11.1
6.6Shots on Target 2.9
4.6Corners per Game 4.4
4.3Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
ADT- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UCV Moquegua- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
ADT1Wins · 50%Draws150%
UCV Moquegua0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
27/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua20
09/05/2026UCV MoqueguaADT22
Recent Form
ADT2W2D6L
23/10/2026
Atletico GrauADTADT
FC Cajamarca
Sporting CristalADTADTSporting CristalADT
Cienciano
Alianza LimaADT
FBC MelgarADTADT
Sport Huancayo
Atletico GrauADT11
D16/10/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasADT
10/10/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasADT21
LADTFC Cajamarca00
D01/10/2026Sporting CristalADT50
L27/09/2026ADTSporting Cristal01
L23/09/2026ADTCienciano21
W19/09/2026Alianza LimaADT20
L07/09/2026FBC MelgarADT30
L30/08/2026ADTSport Huancayo13
L27/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua
ADTUCV Moquegua20
WUCV Moquegua2W1D7L
25/10/2026UCV MoqueguaAlianza LimaFC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II CollegeUCV MoqueguaUCV MoqueguaSporting CristalUCV Moquegua
Alianza AtleticoSport HuancayoUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima01
L18/10/2026FC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua01
W08/10/2026UCV MoqueguaCienciano
20/09/2026UCV MoqueguaCienciano02
LJuan Pablo II CollegeUCV Moquegua40
L13/09/2026UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal12
L06/09/2026
CuscoUCV Moquegua
30/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
LUCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
L27/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua
22/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua20
LSport HuancayoUCV Moquegua02
W16/08/2026UCV MoqueguaSport Boys11
DReferee Profile
5.84Cards per match
5.45Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.84 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.95).
Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:30 | +15 | 51 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45:43 | +2 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 50:43 | +7 | 47 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 46 | LLWWW |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45:44 | +1 | 43 | WWLLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 34 | LLWLD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 43:57 | -14 | 28 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31:45 | -14 | 27 | WWDLL |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 15 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 45:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 50:43 | 47 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 39:50 | 46 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 45:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 28:35 | 34 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 43:57 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 25:44 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 31:45 | 27 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 33:54 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:12 | +12 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | +5 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12:28 | -16 | 2 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 14:29 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 20:29 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 8:20 | 10 |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 12:28 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima 25/10/26
- Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca 25/10/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26/10/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo 27/10/26
- FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca 28/10/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso 28/10/26
- Cienciano vs Atletico Grau 29/10/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco 29/10/26
About the ADT vs UCV Moquegua forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
ADT and UCV Moquegua in the Primera División table
UCV Moquegua and ADT are close in the Primera División table, 16th and 17th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: ADT 31-45, UCV Moquegua 25-44. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
ADT and UCV Moquegua have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.