Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction

Tokyo Verdy
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu·Yoshimi Yamashita 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Tokyo Verdy Rest
2 days
Avispa Fukuoka Rest
2 days

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka: result, form and history

Tokyo Verdy beat Avispa Fukuoka 3-1 in the J1 League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 0.3 goals a game across 4 matches. Referee Yoshimi Yamashita averages 2.26 cards a game, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.10
X
30%3.00
2
36%2.44
Double Chance
1X
64%1.55
X2
66%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.15
No
54%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.17 = 2.40
Over 1.5
65%1.53
Over 2.5
38%2.61
Over 3.5
21%5.50
Under 1.5
35%2.40
Under 2.5
62%1.45
Under 3.5
79%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.5 = 8.5
Over 8.5
47%1.71
Over 9.5
35%2.23
Over 10.5
24%2.90
Under 8.5
53%1.97
Under 9.5
65%1.58
Under 10.5
76%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

10'Issei Kumatoriya
16'Naoki SomaDissent
41'Keiya ShiihashiFoul
45'Keiya Shiihashi INWerik Popo out
45+4'Shu MorookaFoul
49'Naoki Hayashi INMaaya Sako out
56'Werik PopoAssist: Yuji Kitajima
61'Yu Hashimoto INMasato Yuzawa out
66'Issei Kumatoriya INYuan Matsuhashi out
67'Kosuke Saito INKoki Morita out
68'Daiki MiyaFoul
74'Yuan MatsuhashiAssist: Kazunari Ichimi
76'Daiki Miya INYuma Tsujioka out
76'Yuji Kitajima INShohei Takemoto out
86'Masato Shigemi INHiroki Akino out
88'Kazunari Ichimi INShimon Teranuma out
88'Yuta Arai INGoki Yamada out
90'Shimon TeranumaAssist: Shuhei Mizoguchi

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy
4-4-2Coach: N. Soma
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Tsukahara
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.14
Matheus Vidotto6.01M. Vidotto
Y. Uchida6.722Y. Uchida
N. Hayashi6.74N. Hayashi
Cho Yu-Min6.996C. Yu-Min
S. Mizoguchi7.318S. Mizoguchi
K. Fujimoto6.319K. Fujimoto
K. Saito6.48K. Saito
R. Hirakawa6.216R. Hirakawa
Y. Arai6.540Y. Arai
K. Ichimi6.833K. Ichimi
I. Kumatoriya8.025I. Kumatoriya
Y. Obata5.524Y. Obata
T. Oka6.916T. Oka
M. Tashiro6.237M. Tashiro
D. Miya6.038D. Miya
Y. Hashimoto6.047Y. Hashimoto
K. Shiihashi5.734K. Shiihashi
M. Shigemi5.46M. Shigemi
Y. Maejima5.729Y. Maejima
Y. Kitajima7.325Y. Kitajima
T. Miki5.611T. Miki
S. Morooka6.113S. Morooka

Tokyo Verdy Substitutes

21Y. Nagasawa
2K. Shibato
29M. Sako49'for Naoki Hayashi6.6
7Y. Matsuhashi66'for Issei Kumatoriya74'7.5
38S. Kanda
15K. Suzuki
45S. Teranuma88'for Kazunari Ichimi90'7.5
13G. Yamada88'for Yuta Arai6.6
10K. Morita67'for Kosuke Saito7.1

Avispa Fukuoka Substitutes

1T. Nagaishi
14S. Nago
52Shohei Takemoto76'for Yuji Kitajima5.8
15Y. Tsujioka76'for Daiki Miya6.1
9Werik Popó45'for Keiya Shiihashi56'8.2
2M. Yuzawa61'for Yu Hashimoto5.9
49I. Maeda
17H. Akino86'for Masato Shigemi5.8
5T. Kamijima

Match Stats

Tokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots4
10Fouls18
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes397
318Passes Accurate314
18Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
1464Elo Rating 1423
1.27Attack 0.95
1.16Defense 0.68
27%Hit Rate 14%
8.3Shots per Game 11.3
3.3Shots on Target 2.7
3.3Corners per Game 3.9
1.8Cards per Game 2.5

Game State Tendencies

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka0Wins · 0%
0.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

J1 League08/11/2025
Tokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
00
J1 League31/05/2025
Avispa FukuokaTokyo Verdy
00
J1 League20/07/2024
Avispa FukuokaTokyo Verdy
01
J1 League28/04/2024
Tokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
00

Recent Form

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
2W3D5L
21/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
22
D
17/10/2026
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
04
L
11/10/2026
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
L
07/10/2026
Gainare TottoriTokyo Verdy
3040
W
29/09/2026
Sagan TosuTokyo Verdy
2111
L
19/09/2026
UrawaTokyo Verdy
31
L
13/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
11
D
09/09/2026
Biwako ShigaTokyo Verdy
01
W
06/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy
00
D
02/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyVissel Kobe
02
L
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
2W1D7L
21/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
12
L
18/10/2026
Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
30
L
14/10/2026
Sagan TosuAvispa Fukuoka
21
L
10/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaFagiano Okayama
21
W
07/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaYokohama FC
01
L
29/09/2026
OsakaAvispa Fukuoka
1121
W
19/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
12/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka
10
L
05/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaMito Hollyhock
11
D
02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
L

Referee Profile

Yoshimi Yamashita97 matches

2.26Cards per match
2.19Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yoshimi Yamashita2.26
Other referees2.87

2.26 cards a match, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.87).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tokyo Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League table

Tokyo Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka are close in the J1 League table, 18th and 19th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tokyo Verdy 9-21, Avispa Fukuoka 13-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.