Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

Toyota Stadium, Toyota·Koki Nagamine 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseHighGap-2.8%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
3 days
Yokohama F. Marinos Rest
3 days

Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos: the result in context

Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 25 Oct 2026. Nagoya Grampus had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Yokohama F. Marinos tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.0 for Nagoya Grampus.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.38
X
27%3.52
2
36%2.77
Double Chance
1X
64%1.40
X2
63%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.38 = 2.70
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
22%3.97
Under 2.5
45%2.06
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.51
Over 9.5
51%1.88
Over 10.5
39%2.35
Under 8.5
38%2.35
Under 9.5
49%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.8
Over 3.5
30%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
70%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

14'Jordy CrouxAssist: Ryo Miyaichi
45'Shuhei Tokumoto INYuki Nogami out
45'Tsukasa Morishima INYota Sato out
53'Takuya UchidaFoul
55'Takuto KimuraFoul
59'Jordy Croux INTomoki Kondo out
68'Rio Nitta INTevis Gabriel Alves Santos out
68'Takuto Kimura INTaisei Inoue out
68'Ryo Miyaichi INShin Miidera out
71'Takuya Uchida INHidemasa Koda out
72'Ryuji Izumi INMasahito Ono out
74'Yuya YamagishiAssist: Tomoki Takamine
78'Toichi Suzuki INThomas Deng out
85'Katsuhiro Nakayama INTomoya Koyamatsu out

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Michael Petrovic
Yokohama F. Marinos
4-4-2Coach: S. Corica
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.61
D. Schmidt8.01D. Schmidt
T. Hara6.470T. Hara
T. Takamine8.231T. Takamine
S. Tokumoto6.655S. Tokumoto
T. Uchida6.217T. Uchida
S. Inagaki6.615S. Inagaki
T. Morishima6.814T. Morishima
K. Nakayama6.927K. Nakayama
R. Izumi6.77R. Izumi
Y. Kimura6.722Y. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi7.511Y. Yamagishi
H. Iikura7.121H. Iikura
T. Kimura6.134T. Kimura
J. Quiñónes6.717J. Quiñónes
K. Suwama6.933K. Suwama
T. Suzuki6.425T. Suzuki
R. Miyaichi6.923R. Miyaichi
K. Matsumura7.141K. Matsumura
R. Yamane6.628R. Yamane
J. Croux7.311J. Croux
K. Tanimura6.29K. Tanimura
R. Nitta6.343R. Nitta

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

30S. Sugiura
33T. Kikuchi
19H. Koda71'for Takuya Uchida6.2
58T. Koyamatsu85'for Katsuhiro Nakayama6.3
2Y. Nogami45'for Shuhei Tokumoto7.0
41M. Ono72'for Ryuji Izumi6.0
35A. Pisano
3Y. Sato45'for Tsukasa Morishima6.5
68Atsuki Sameshima

Yokohama F. Marinos Substitutes

1Park Il-Gyu
47S. Miidera68'for Ryo Miyaichi6.3
24T. Kondo59'for Jordy Croux6.4
8T. Kida
13T. Inoue68'for Takuto Kimura6.3
54S. Fujii
44T. Deng78'for Toichi Suzuki6.5
32Y. Tanaka
19Tevis Gabriel68'for Rio Nitta6.8

Match Stats

Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots2
10Fouls18
6Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves4
471Total Passes395
392Passes Accurate335
18Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
1561Elo Rating 1622
2.30Attack 1.21
1.61Defense 2.13
54%Hit Rate 34%
12.5Shots per Game 12.8
3.8Shots on Target 2.6
3.0Corners per Game 5.5
0.9Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.9 in second half)
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League20/07/2025
Yokohama F. MarinosNagoya Grampus
30
J1 League02/04/2025
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
20
J1 League08/12/2024
Yokohama F. MarinosNagoya Grampus
02
J-League Cup13/10/2024
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
12
J-League Cup09/10/2024
Yokohama F. MarinosNagoya Grampus
13
J1 League30/03/2024
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
21
J1 League08/07/2023
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
22
J1 League29/04/2023
Yokohama F. MarinosNagoya Grampus
11
J1 League01/10/2022
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
04
J1 League07/05/2022
Yokohama F. MarinosNagoya Grampus
21

Referee Profile

Koki Nagamine123 matches

2.94Cards per match
2.81Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koki Nagamine2.94
Other referees2.89

2.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.89).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League table

Yokohama F. Marinos and Nagoya Grampus are close in the J1 League table, 9th and 11th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Nagoya Grampus 14-18, Yokohama F. Marinos 16-12. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nagoya Grampus have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.