Urawa vs JEF United Chiba Prediction

Urawa
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
JEF United Chiba
Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama·Koji Takasaki 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Urawa Rest
4 days
JEF United Chiba Rest
4 days

Urawa vs JEF United Chiba: the result in context

Urawa beat JEF United Chiba 3-2 in the J1 League on 21 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Urawa had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for JEF United Chiba.

Referee Koji Takasaki averages 3.24 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.59
X
24%4.00
2
15%5.25
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
39%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 0.87 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.79
Over 3.5
32%2.85
Under 1.5
23%3.75
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Daisuke SuzukiFoul
19'Takuro Kaneko
31'Boniface NdukaAssist: Takuya Yasui
45'Kaito Yasui INShuta Sasa out
55'Kenta NemotoAssist: Matheus Sávio
58'Renji Hidano INHiiro Komori out
61'Makoto Himeno INMatheus Salgueiro Pains out
66'Ken YamuraFoul
68'Kazuki TanakaFoul
73'Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco INTaishi Taguchi out
73'Ken Yamura INNaohiro Sugiyama out
73'Kazuki Tanaka INTakumi Tsukui out
81'Shuta SasaAssist: Tatsuki Seko
83'Takuya Yasui INLeonardo Rocha out
83'Matheus Sávio INAdo Onaiwu out
87'Matheus Salgueiro PainsFoul
89'Taishi TaguchiFoul
90'Takuro Kaneko INJumpei Hayakawa out
90'Miki Yamane INKotaro Hayashi out
90+1'Takumi TsukuiAssist: Erison Danilo de Souza

Lineups

Urawa
3-4-2-1Coach: Gwi-jae Jo
JEF United Chiba
4-4-2Coach: Y. Kobayashi
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating5.94
S. Nishikawa6.01S. Nishikawa
Danilo Boza6.43D. Boza
Y. Miyamoto6.02Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto6.75K. Nemoto
M. Yamane6.26M. Yamane
K. Yasui5.425K. Yasui
T. Seko6.312T. Seko
Y. Naganuma6.488Y. Naganuma
T. Kaneko6.67T. Kaneko
Matheus Sávio6.510M. Sávio
R. Hidano6.336R. Hidano
J. Suarez5.619J. Suarez
T. Mae5.415T. Mae
D. Suzuki5.213D. Suzuki
B. Nduka6.72B. Nduka
M. Hidaka5.767M. Hidaka
K. Tanaka5.77K. Tanaka
Dudu5.46Dudu
T. Yasui6.641T. Yasui
M. Himeno5.837M. Himeno
Erison6.499Erison
K. Yamura6.029K. Yamura

Urawa Substitutes

23K. Fukui
11Samuel Gustafson
39J. Hayakawa90'for Takuro Kaneko
18K. Hayashi90'for Miki Yamane
17H. Komori58'for Renji Hidano6.6
15K. Kudo
45A. Onaiwu83'for Matheus Sávio6.5
33S. Sasa45'for Kaito Yasui81'6.8
37H. Ueki

JEF United Chiba Substitutes

8T. Tsukui73'for Kazuki Tanaka90+1'6.8
24K. Toriumi
4T. Taguchi73'for Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco89'6.1
23R. Suzuki
18N. Sugiyama73'for Ken Yamura5.9
45Leonardo Rocha83'for Takuya Yasui6.4
25Matheus Índio61'for Makoto Himeno87'5.5
28T. Kawano
9H. Goya

Match Stats

UrawaJEF United Chiba
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards5
10Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
7Fouls14
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves1
334Total Passes322
213Passes Accurate205
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

UrawaUrawa
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
1624Elo Rating 1411
2.24Attack 1.02
1.68Defense 1.27
83%Hit Rate 0%
16.5Shots per Game 15.2
4.2Shots on Target 3.2
7.7Corners per Game 6.3
0.3Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+214 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UrawaUrawa
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

UrawaUrawa2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

J1 League02/05/2026
UrawaJEF United Chiba
20
J1 League07/02/2026
JEF United ChibaUrawa
02

Recent Form

UrawaUrawa
8W0D2L
17/10/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
01
W
14/10/2026
Yokohama FCUrawa
04
W
10/10/2026
FC TokyoUrawa
30
L
07/10/2026
UrawaOmiya Ardija
32
W
29/09/2026
Kataller ToyamaUrawa
23
W
19/09/2026
UrawaTokyo Verdy
31
W
13/09/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
12
L
06/09/2026
KashimaUrawa
01
W
02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
W
29/08/2026
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
32
W
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
2W3D5L
17/10/2026
JEF United ChibaYokohama F. Marinos
00
D
11/10/2026
JEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
11
D
07/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaJEF United Chiba
10
L
29/09/2026
Jubilo IwataJEF United Chiba
42
L
19/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseJEF United Chiba
21
L
13/09/2026
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
11
D
09/09/2026
Kamatamare SanukiJEF United Chiba
02
W
06/09/2026
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka
20
W
02/09/2026
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama
12
L
29/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
42
L

Referee Profile

Koji Takasaki113 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.07Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koji Takasaki3.24
Other referees2.63

3.24 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.63).

Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Urawa vs JEF United Chiba forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Urawa and JEF United Chiba in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Urawa are 7th and JEF United Chiba 20th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Urawa 21-23, JEF United Chiba 12-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Urawa and JEF United Chiba have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.