Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction

Gamba Osaka
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita·Koichiro Fukushima 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Gamba Osaka Rest
2 days
Kyoto Sanga Rest
2 days

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: result, form and history

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga drew 2-2 in the J1 League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Koichiro Fukushima averages 1.36 cards a game, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.95
X
26%3.73
2
24%3.58
Double Chance
1X
76%1.28
X2
50%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.04 = 2.66
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
44%2.15
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.46
Over 9.5
52%1.80
Over 10.5
41%2.28
Under 8.5
36%2.49
Under 9.5
48%1.93
Under 10.5
59%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.5
32%-
Over 4.5
16%-
Under 3.5
68%-
Under 4.5
84%-

Match Events

31'Takashi Usami
32'Kyo SatoFoul
39'Haruki AraiAssist: Shimpei Fukuoka
45'Weverton Silva de Andrade INTakumi Kato out
53'Jun Ichimori
57'Koshiro Sumi INMasaaki Higashiguchi out
65'Issam Jebali
66'Tokuma Suzuki INShuto Abe out
66'Takashi Usami INShogo Sasaki out
69'Hiroto Morooka INRafael Papagaio out
69'Alex Souza INFuchi Honda out
75'Yusuke Ishida INMarco Túlio out
80'Kyo Sato INRyosuke Yamanaka out
90'Rin Mito INRyo Hatsuse out
90+1'Ryoya Yamashita INRyotaro Meshino out
90+2'Takumi Kato
90+7'Issam JebaliFoul

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Kyoto Sanga
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Popović
Avg rating6.17
Avg rating6.53
J. Ichimori4.422J. Ichimori
T. Kishimoto6.615T. Kishimoto
S. Nakatani6.04S. Nakatani
S. Fukuoka6.12S. Fukuoka
S. Nakano5.747S. Nakano
T. Suzuki6.216T. Suzuki
R. Mito6.527R. Mito
R. Yamashita6.317R. Yamashita
T. Usami7.67T. Usami
K. Sumi5.839K. Sumi
I. Jebali8.211I. Jebali
Halls6.790Halls
Weverton6.243Weverton
Y. Suzuki6.350Y. Suzuki
K. Nagata6.515K. Nagata
Y. Ishida6.440Y. Ishida
S. Fukuoka6.810S. Fukuoka
H. Morooka5.924H. Morooka
K. Sato6.144K. Sato
R. Nakano6.648R. Nakano
H. Arai6.977H. Arai
Alex Negueba6.317A. Negueba

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

41Y. Toshida
97Welton Felipe
13S. Abe66'for Tokuma Suzuki5.9
20E. Adams
28S. Fujiwara
21R. Hatsuse90'for Rin Mito
1M. Higashiguchi57'for Koshiro Sumi5.0
8R. Meshino90+1'for Ryoya Yamashita
67S. Sasaki66'for Takashi Usami6.1

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

23T. Kato45'for Weverton Silva de Andrade90+2'8.2
11Marco Túlio75'for Yusuke Ishida6.7
1G. Ota
9Rafael Elias69'for Hiroto Morooka6.8
62T. Shichi
5H. Tawiah
60R. Yamanaka80'for Kyo Sato6.2
25Yoon Sung-Jun
99F. Honda69'for Alex Souza6.0

Match Stats

Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls15
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
379Total Passes429
273Passes Accurate327
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
1608Elo Rating 1520
1.88Attack 1.16
1.39Defense 1.28
39%Hit Rate 17%
12.8Shots per Game 10.2
5.2Shots on Target 3.3
4.3Corners per Game 3.5
1.6Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League29/04/2026
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
5141
J1 League04/04/2026
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
20
J1 League28/06/2025
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
31
J1 League29/04/2025
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
21
J1 League22/09/2024
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
22
J1 League03/04/2024
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
00
J1 League08/07/2023
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
10
J-League Cup24/05/2023
Gamba OsakaKyoto Sanga
01
J1 League15/04/2023
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
21
J-League Cup08/03/2023
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
13

Recent Form

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
4W1D5L
21/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
12
W
17/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
22
D
13/10/2026
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
13
W
09/10/2026
KashimaGamba Osaka
20
L
03/10/2026
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka
5343
L
23/09/2026
Gamba OsakaTokushima Vortis
50
W
20/09/2026
Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe
01
L
15/09/2026
Gamba OsakaCông An Nhân Dân
41
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
L
06/09/2026
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka
20
L

Referee Profile

Koichiro Fukushima182 matches

1.36Cards per match
1.29Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koichiro Fukushima1.36
Other referees2.58

1.36 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.58).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League table

Gamba Osaka and Kyoto Sanga are close in the J1 League table, 15th and 16th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Gamba Osaka 14-21, Kyoto Sanga 15-23. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.