Ceara vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 21
Ceara
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
Estádio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza·Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil 08/08/2026
CearaCeara
2-0
Finished
Ponte PretaPonte Preta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
Ceara Rest
12 days
Ponte Preta Rest
10 days

Ceara vs Ponte Preta: result, form and history

Ceara beat Ponte Preta 2-0 in the Serie B on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 5 matches. Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.41
X
19%4.15
2
5%8.00
Double Chance
1X
95%1.07
X2
24%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.10
No
48%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 0.82 = 2.90
Over 1.5
80%1.28
Over 2.5
58%1.92
Over 3.5
36%3.30
Under 1.5
20%3.35
Under 2.5
42%1.82
Under 3.5
64%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.1 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.31
Over 9.5
57%1.52
Over 10.5
47%1.86
Under 8.5
35%3.16
Under 9.5
43%2.33
Under 10.5
53%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.62
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.15

Match Events

11'Julio de OliveiraFoul
19'Julio de OliveiraFoul
19'Julio de OliveiraFoul
21'Diego PorfirioArgument
22'Kevyson INM. L. Diego out
29'LuccaAssist: Giovanni Pavani
43'Lucas CunhaFoul
46'David da Hora INRodrigo Souza out
49'Thalisson INLuiz Otavio out
62'M. N. Ferreira Berrondo INMelk out
62'Giovanni Pavani INRichardson out
64'S. Palacios INBaianinho out
69'João GabrielTime wasting
78'GiulioAssist: Gabriel Rocha
83'Andre Lima INGustavo Telles out
83'Elvis INGustavo Almeida out
84'Vina INLucas Mugni out
84'Lucca INR. Lopez out
86'Gustavo AlmeidaFoul

Lineups

Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulista Daniel
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1Coach: Zanardi Marcio
Avg rating7.19
Avg rating6.23
RichardC7.21Richard
Bryan Borges8.031B. Borges
Thalisson7.03Thalisson
Gabriel Rocha7.771G. Rocha
Savio8.06Savio
Giovanni Pavani7.321G. Pavani
Joao Gabriel7.081J. Gabriel
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo6.620M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Vina6.929Vina
Giulio7.935Giulio
Lucca7.299Lucca
Vinicius Ferrari30V. Ferrari
S. Palacios7.223S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha6.03L. Cunha
Diego Porfirio6.213D. Porfirio
Julio3.02Julio
Andre Lima6.28A. Lima
Leo Gomes6.316L. Gomes
Kevyson6.332Kevyson
David da Hora6.918D. da Hora
ElvisC6.910Elvis
Brandao5.921Brandao

Ceara Substitutes

22Matheus Nogueira
12Sanchez
90Kaua Ziegler
45Vini Uchella
40Melk62'for M. N. Ferreira Berrondo6.7
11Lucas Mugni84'for Vina6.7
26Richardson62'for Giovanni Pavani7.3
13Luiz Otavio49'for Thalisson7.0
7R. Lopez84'for Lucca6.6
8Matheus Araujo
88Caio
60Enzo Lodovico

Ponte Preta Substitutes

1Guilherme Viana
11Baianinho64'for S. Palacios6.3
17Miguel Morais
4M. L. Diego22'for Kevyson6.0
35Gustavo Telles83'for Andre Lima6.5
5Rodrigo Souza46'for David da Hora6.3
44Gustavo Almeida83'for Elvis86'6.7
6Juan Rodrigues
9Joao Damiao

Match Stats

CearaPonte Preta
69%Ball Possession31%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls16
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
474Total Passes208
423Passes Accurate140
89%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1611Elo Rating 1334
1.18Attack 0.50
1.95Defense 0.58
36%Hit Rate 0%
13.1Shots per Game 8.6
3.9Shots on Target 3.5
5.2Corners per Game 2.0
2.2Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+276 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara1Wins · 20%
Draws360%
Ponte PretaPonte Preta1Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B02/04/2026
Ponte PretaCeara
11
Serie B12/10/2024
CearaPonte Preta
10
Serie B26/06/2024
Ponte PretaCeara
31
Serie B20/08/2023
CearaPonte Preta
11
Serie B07/05/2023
Ponte PretaCeara
00

Recent Form

CearaCeara
2W3D5L
26/07/2026
São BernardoCeara
34
W23/07/2026
CearaCRB
01
L18/07/2026
America MineiroCeara
11
D14/07/2026
CearaAthletic Club
00
D05/07/2026
GoiasCeara
20
L28/06/2026
JuventudeCeara
20
L21/06/2026
CearaBotafogo SP
01
L16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
L
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
0W2D8L
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D
23/07/2026
Operario-PRPonte Preta
32
L18/07/2026
Ponte PretaGoias
12
L09/07/2026
Ponte PretaCriciuma
12
L03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
L28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D

Referee Profile

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva211 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.28Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva5.67
Other referees5.13

5.67 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15CearaCeara3437:4243
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Ceara vs Ponte Preta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ceara and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Ceara are 15th and Ponte Preta 20th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 37-42, Ponte Preta 21-76. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.