Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso in numbers
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Alianza Atletico on 2 wins from their last five and Deportivo Garcilaso on 2. They meet in the Primera División on 28 Oct 2026.
Alianza Atletico have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.
Team Comparison
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso1603Elo Rating 1661
1.58Attack 1.88
0.39Defense 1.25
36%Hit Rate 34%
13.8Shots per Game 18.9
4.6Shots on Target 6.4
4.6Corners per Game 6.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Atletico- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Garcilaso- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Atletico6Wins · 75%Draws00%
Deportivo Garcilaso2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
11/05/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico21
04/03/2026Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso20
06/10/2025Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico24
16/05/2025Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso10
10/08/2024Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico01
29/02/2024Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso30
01/10/2023Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso20
21/05/2023Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico32
Recent Form
Alianza Atletico6W0D4L
24/10/2026
Sport HuancayoAlianza Atletico
Sport BoysAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico GrauAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
Sport HuancayoAlianza Atletico41
L18/10/2026Alianza Atletico
Universitario
11/10/2026Alianza AtleticoUniversitario14
LSport BoysAlianza Atletico13
W06/10/2026Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys30
W27/09/2026Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
18/09/2026Sport BoysAlianza Atletico30
LAlianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos21
W13/09/2026Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico31
L04/09/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
W30/08/2026UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WDeportivo Garcilaso6W1D3L
26/10/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC MelgarDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo GarcilasoSport HuancayoDeportivo GarcilasoUniversitarioSport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau
Alianza LimaDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
CuscoDeportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
Deportivo GarcilasoClub Deportivo Los Chankas41
W18/10/2026FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso42
L10/10/2026Deportivo GarcilasoSport Huancayo01
L20/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario40
W13/09/2026Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso10
L06/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau42
W30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
W23/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
W17/08/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
09/08/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DDeportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
WReferee Profile
5.39Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).
Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:30 | +15 | 51 | WWLLW |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45:43 | +2 | 48 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 50:43 | +7 | 47 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 46 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45:44 | +1 | 43 | WWLLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 45:56 | -11 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 34 | LLWLD |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 43:57 | -14 | 28 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 17 |  ADT | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 31:45 | -14 | 27 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 15 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 30 | 45:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 30 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 30 | 50:43 | 47 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 30 | 39:50 | 46 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 44:46 | 44 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 30 | 45:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 30 | 45:56 | 38 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 30 | 28:35 | 34 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 30 | 43:57 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 30 | 25:44 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 31:45 | 27 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 33:54 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LLWDD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LDDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:12 | +12 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 22 | LDDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | +5 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | LWLWW |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12:28 | -16 | 2 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 13 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 13 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 13 | 25:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 13 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 13 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 13 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 13 | 14:29 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 13 | 20:29 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 13 | 8:20 | 10 |
| 17 | ADT | 13 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 13 | 12:28 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca 25/10/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26/10/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo 27/10/26
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua 28/10/26
- FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca 28/10/26
- Cienciano vs Atletico Grau 29/10/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco 29/10/26
- FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos 30/10/26
About the Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Atletico and Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th and Alianza Atletico 10th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Atletico 45-44, Deportivo Garcilaso 45-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.