Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil · Quarter-finalsDerbyCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseHighGap-0.8%
Santos Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days
Santos vs Palmeiras: result, form and history
Santos and Palmeiras drew 0-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game. Santos tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.7 for Palmeiras.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.42
X27%3.17
243%2.15
Double Chance
1X57%1.67
X270%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes10%1.83
No90%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.87 + 1.21 = 2.08
Over 1.562%1.30
Over 2.531%2.00
Over 3.59%3.43
Under 1.538%3.19
Under 2.569%1.80
Under 3.591%1.28
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
1'Felipe AndersonFoul
1'Gonzalo EscobarArgument
29'Álvaro Barreal INBenjamín Rollheiser out
34'Gabriel BontempoFoul
39'Agustin GiayPersistent infringement
39'Abel Fernando Moreira FerreiraDissent
45'Igor Vinicius INDavi Fernandes Cavalcane Ribeiro out
45'Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior INRony out
45'Lucas Veríssimo INMoisés out
45'José Manuel López INVitor Roque out
45'Felipe Anderson INKhellven Douglas Silva Oliveira out
64'Rafael GonzagaArgument
64'Vitor RoqueArgument
76'Marlon Freitas INEmiliano Martínez out
86'Gabriel BarbosaDissent
86'Andreas Pereira INLuis Pacheco out
86'Gabriel Barbosa INThaciano out
88'Lucas Evangelista INLarson Torna Ferreira dos Santos out
89'Luis PachecoFoul
Lineups
SantosPalmeiras
4-2-3-1Coach: Abel FerreiraAvg ratingAvg rating
77G. Brazão
18I. Vinicius
4L. Veríssimo
14L. Peres
31G. Escobar
15W. Arão
28C. Oliva
8G. Bontempo
10Neymar
22Á. Barreal
9G. Barbosa
1C. Miguel
4A. Giay
26Murilo
2A. Barboza
56Arthur
8A. Pereira
17M. Freitas
7F. Anderson
18Maurício
30L. Evangelista
42J. LópezSantos Substitutes
5João Schmidt
26João Paulo Ananias
17G. Caballero
34João Paulo
30M. Terceros
21Moisés45'for Lucas Veríssimo
11Rony45'for Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior
16Thaciano86'for Gabriel Barbosa
38Rafael Gonzaga64'
32B. Rollheiser29'for Álvaro Barreal
81S. Pierri
27D. Fernandes45'for Igor Vinicius
Palmeiras Substitutes
9Vitor Roque45'for José Manuel López64'
22J. Piquerez
50Luis Felipe86'for Andreas Pereira89'
32E. Martínez76'for Marlon Freitas
45Erick Machado
14Marcelo Lomba
15G. Gómez
11J. Arias
12Khellven45'for Felipe Anderson
48Larson88'for Lucas Evangelista
39Heittor
3Bruno Fuchs
Match Stats
SantosPalmeiras 64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box5
13Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls17
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
607Total Passes351
525Passes Accurate271
17Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
SantosPalmeiras1771Elo Rating 1858
1.07Attack 1.07
1.96Defense 2.66
19%Hit Rate 54%
16.8Shots per Game 13.6
5.9Shots on Target 4.3
5.7Corners per Game 3.7
3.4Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santos3Wins · 30%Draws110%
Palmeiras6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
27/08/2026PalmeirasSantos30
02/05/2026PalmeirasSantos11
14/01/2026PalmeirasSantos10
16/11/2025SantosPalmeiras10
07/11/2025PalmeirasSantos20
23/01/2025SantosPalmeiras12
07/04/2024PalmeirasSantos20
31/03/2024SantosPalmeiras10
28/01/2024PalmeirasSantos21
08/10/2023PalmeirasSantos12
Clássico da SaudadeFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Santos5W3D2L
30/08/2026
CorinthiansSantosSantos
Mirassol
MacaraSantosSantosMacaraSantos
Atletico ParanaenseSantos
UCV
CorinthiansSantos01
W27/08/2026PalmeirasSantos
23/08/2026PalmeirasSantos30
LSantosMirassol11
D21/08/2026MacaraSantos00
D16/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaSantos
14/08/2026Vasco DA GamaSantos03
WSantosMacara21
W09/08/2026SantosAtletico Paranaense02
L05/08/2026
RemoSantos
RemoSantos01
W02/08/2026SantosRemo
29/07/2026SantosRemo00
DSantosUCV42
WPalmeiras5W3D2L
30/08/2026MirassolPalmeirasPalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
FluminensePalmeirasPalmeiras
Internacional
Fortaleza ECPalmeirasPalmeirasFortaleza EC
VitoriaPalmeiras
MirassolPalmeiras11
D27/08/2026PalmeirasSantos
23/08/2026PalmeirasSantos30
WPalmeirasVasco DA Gama41
W20/08/2026Cerro PortenoPalmeiras01
W15/08/2026FluminensePalmeiras32
L13/08/2026PalmeirasCerro Porteno
09/08/2026PalmeirasCerro Porteno11
DPalmeirasInternacional00
D06/08/2026Fortaleza ECPalmeiras32
L02/08/2026PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
W30/07/2026VitoriaPalmeiras04
WReferee Profile
5.13Cards per match
4.95Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).
Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
GremioCorinthiansVasco DA Gama
BahiaRemo
CruzeiroSantos
CoritibaInternacional
RB BragantinoMirassol
FlamengoVitoria
Atletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GASFortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePalmeiras1Vasco DA Gama0Explore more predictions
This match
More Copa Do Brasil matches
About the Santos vs Palmeiras forecast
As a derby, this Copa Do Brasil meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.1 out of 10 by our context model. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.