Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction
World · Quarter-finals
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico-MG vs Santos: result, form and history
Atletico-MG beat Santos on penalties (3-1) after a 4-2 draw in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches. Atletico-MG tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.7 for Santos.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Penalty Shootout3 - 1
Lineups
Atletico-MG
Avg ratingAvg rating
1G. Delfim
21A. Franco
40Vitão
13Lyanco
6R. Lodi
8Maycon
15K. Castaño
28T. Cuello
7Fred
11Bernard
19Reinier
77G. Brazão
23Rodinei
15W. Arão
14L. Peres
31G. Escobar
48G. Henrique Pereira
5J. Schmidt
8G. Bontempo
32B. Rollheiser
11Rony
9G. BarbosaAtletico-MG Substitutes
Santos Substitutes
Match Stats
Atletico-MGSantos Team Comparison
Atletico-MGSantosAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico-MG- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico-MG3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
10/09/2026SantosAtletico-MG
12/04/2026SantosAtletico-MG14/09/2025Atletico-MGSantos17/04/2025SantosAtletico-MG27/08/2023Atletico-MGSantos23/04/2023SantosAtletico-MG06/10/2022SantosAtletico-MG12/06/2022Atletico-MGSantos14/10/2021Atletico-MGSantos28/06/2021SantosAtletico-MGRecent Form
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
FluminenseSantosAtletico-MG
Sao PauloAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CruzeiroAtletico-MG
VitoriaCruzeiroAtletico-MG
InternacionalAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
GremioRB BragantinoAtletico-MGSantosSantosCruzeiroSantosAtletico-MGInternacionalSantosSantos
Palmeiras
CorinthiansSantosPalmeirasSantosSantos
Mirassol
MacaraSantos
Vasco DA GamaSantosSantosMacaraReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 229 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Deportivo RecoletaSao PauloAtletico-MG
Atletico TorqueMacara
Olimpia
Botafogo
River PlateLeague Table
Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 | DLLWW |
| 3 |  Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 4 |  Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 6:9 | 7 |
Group D
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 | WDDDD |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 | WDDDD |
| 3 |  San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 | LDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca | 6 | 3:7 | 6 |
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This match
About the Atletico-MG vs Santos forecast
As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About CONMEBOL Sudamericana
More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.