Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sao Paulo vs Santos: the result in context
Santos beat Sao Paulo 2-1 in the Serie A on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Santos had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sao Paulo.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Avg ratingAvg rating
31C. Coronel
32P. Lima
5R. Arboleda
2R. Tolói
12Iago
29P. Maia
8M. Antônio
16D. Bobadilla
37Artur
10Luciano
49R. Francisco
1Diógenes
23Rodinei
4L. Veríssimo
15W. Arão
31G. Escobar
28C. Oliva
6Arthur
22Á. Barreal
45Lima
7Everton
9G. BarbosaSao Paulo Substitutes
Santos Substitutes
Match Stats
Sao PauloSantos Team Comparison
Sao PauloSantosAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sao Paulo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Santos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sao Paulo4Wins · 40%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
05/02/2026SantosSao Paulo
01/02/2026Sao PauloSantos22/09/2025SantosSao Paulo20/04/2025Sao PauloSantos02/02/2025SantosSao Paulo14/02/2024Sao PauloSantos12/11/2023SantosSao Paulo16/07/2023Sao PauloSantos12/02/2023Sao PauloSantos22/08/2022SantosSao PauloRecent Form
Sao PauloSao Paulo
InternacionalSao Paulo
Boca Juniors
PalmeirasSao PauloBoca JuniorsSao PauloSao Paulo
Atletico-MGSao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-scSao PauloSao Paulo
BolívarSao Paulo
CoritibaBolívarSao PauloSantos
RemoSantosAtletico-MGSantosSantos
CruzeiroSantosAtletico-MGInternacionalSantosSantosPalmeiras
CorinthiansSantosPalmeirasSantosSantos
Mirassol
MacaraSantosReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | +4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
Explore more predictions
This match
About the Sao Paulo vs Santos forecast
As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sao Paulo and Santos in the Serie A table
Santos and Sao Paulo are close in the Serie A table, 8th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Sao Paulo 36-35, Santos 48-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.