Santos vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 27
Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.08
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Santos Rest
3 days
Cruzeiro Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.74
X29%3.37
229%2.54
Double Chance
1X71%1.50
X258%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.67
No43%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.11 = 2.48
Over 1.574%1.28
Over 2.548%1.87
Over 3.528%3.20
Under 1.526%3.62
Under 2.552%1.95
Under 3.572%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.53
Over 9.546%1.93
Over 10.536%2.40
Under 8.541%2.33
Under 9.554%1.78
Under 10.564%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.569%1.21
Over 4.551%1.45
Under 3.531%4.10
Under 4.549%2.62
Match Events
28'Benjamín Rollheiser
32'Fabrício BrunoOG
45'Lucas Romer INWesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira out
45+5'Kaio JorgeFoul
61'Gustavo Henrique INChristian Oliva out
65'EvertonFoul
74'Benjamín Rollheiser INVinicius Moreira de Lima out
74'Everton INArthur Melo out
74'Matheus Henrique INLucas Silva out
75'Fagner INJoao Costa out
75'Gerson INZé Lucas out
79'João MarceloDissent
79'Keny arroyo INLuciano Rodríguez out
81'Rony INMiguelito out
81'Gabriel Bontempo INThaciano out
82'Gabriel BrazãoTime wasting
90'Matheus PereiraAssist: Luciano Rodríguez
90+4'Fabrício BrunoDissent
Lineups
SantosCruzeiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Artur JorgeAvg ratingAvg rating
77G. Brazão
18I. Vinicius
15W. Arão
14L. Peres
23Rodinei
48G. Henrique Pereira
5J. Schmidt
7Everton
8G. Bontempo
32B. Rollheiser
11Rony
81O. Eleodoro Rezende Costa
23Fágner
15F. Bruno
43J. Marcelo
27G. Rojas
29L. Romero
7M. Henrique
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
8Gerson
19K. JorgeSantos Substitutes
17G. Caballero
26João Paulo Ananias
81S. Pierri
25Gabriel Menino
45Lima74'for Benjamín Rollheiser
28C. Oliva61'for Gustavo Henrique
6Arthur74'for Everton
42João Alencar
30M. Terceros81'for Rony
16Thaciano81'for Gabriel Bontempo
1Diógenes
38Rafael Gonzaga
Cruzeiro Substitutes
5Zé Lucas75'for Gerson
2Kauã Moraes
11Marquinhos
1Cássio
9Bruno Rodrigues
97L. Rodríguez79'for Keny arroyo
16Lucas Silva74'for Matheus Henrique
25L. Villalba
12William
38Felipe Morais
67João Gabriel e Costa Cesco75'for Fagner
20Wesley Gassova45'for Lucas Romer
Match Stats
SantosCruzeiro 53%Ball Possession47%
13Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
31Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal4
14Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box8
17Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots0
19Fouls14
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves8
516Total Passes461
444Passes Accurate394
86%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
SantosCruzeiro1753Elo Rating 1809
0.94Attack 2.18
1.82Defense 1.57
17%Hit Rate 86%
17.0Shots per Game 17.0
5.9Shots on Target 7.3
5.6Corners per Game 5.5
3.0Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Santos2Wins · 40%Draws120%
Cruzeiro2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
22/03/2026CruzeiroSantos00
07/12/2025SantosCruzeiro30
10/08/2025CruzeiroSantos12
15/09/2023SantosCruzeiro03
06/05/2023CruzeiroSantos21
Recent Form
Santos5W3D2L
10/09/2026Santos
Atletico-MGSantos
Palmeiras
CorinthiansSantosSantos
Mirassol
MacaraSantosSantosMacaraSantos
Atletico Paranaense
SantosAtletico-MG20
W06/09/2026
InternacionalSantos
03/09/2026InternacionalSantos23
WSantosPalmeiras00
D30/08/2026CorinthiansSantos01
W27/08/2026PalmeirasSantos
23/08/2026PalmeirasSantos30
LSantosMirassol11
D21/08/2026MacaraSantos00
D16/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaSantos
14/08/2026Vasco DA GamaSantos03
WSantosMacara21
W09/08/2026SantosAtletico Paranaense02
LCruzeiro5W2D3L
06/09/2026CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense
02/09/2026CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense31
WAtletico-MGCruzeiro21
L30/08/2026Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro31
L26/08/2026CruzeiroAtletico-MG11
D23/08/2026Cruzeiro
Flamengo21
W20/08/2026FlamengoCruzeiro21
L17/08/2026CorinthiansCruzeiro12
W13/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo11
D09/08/2026CruzeiroMirassol31
W06/08/2026Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc20
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Santos vs Cruzeiro forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santos and Cruzeiro in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Santos 9th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Santos 50-49, Cruzeiro 55-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.