Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap-1.7%
Atletico Nacional Rest
3 days
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 14 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.1 for Atletico Nacional.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.42
X28%3.22
231%2.79
Double Chance
1X69%1.39
X259%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.57
No43%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.84 = 2.53
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.553%1.75
Over 3.533%2.75
Under 1.523%3.91
Under 2.547%2.00
Under 3.567%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.5 = 9.1
Over 8.554%1.57
Over 9.542%1.93
Over 10.531%2.45
Under 8.546%2.27
Under 9.558%1.77
Under 10.569%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5--
Over 4.5--
Under 3.5--
Under 4.5--
Match Events
15'K. Parra Atehortua
27'J. Zapata
33'P. GomezAssist: M. Barrios
43'K. Parra Atehortua
46'J. Zapata INE. Cabrera out
46'N. Rodriguez INJ. Rodriguez out
59'E. Benitez INM. Moreno out
59'M. Uribe INA. Morelos out
63'P. Gomez INH. Guzman out
63'J. Quinones INA. Roa out
63'J. A. Zapata Ramirez IND. Moreno out
68'J. Patino INA. Correa out
75'Y. A. Perlaza Perea INX. Rios out
77'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Barrios
79'D. Moreno
82'J. Nieto INE. Torres out
84'M. Casco
90+3'A. Morelos
Lineups
Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas
4-1-4-1Avg ratingAvg rating
25L. Marquinez
27Y. Perlaza
15A. Reyes
16W. Tesillo
20M. Casco
8M. Uribe
80J. Zapata
13N. Rodríguez
C10E. Cardona
30K. Parra
32E. Benitez
99F. Parra
22J. David Cuesta
2J. Cardona
30D. Londoño
33J. Patiño
5J. Pablo Nieto
7M. Barrios
C23A. Colorado
42J. Quinones
9P. Gómez
14J. ZapataAtletico Nacional Substitutes
44Edimer Zea
3Neider Parra
31Xavi Rios75'for Y. A. Perlaza Perea
23James Rodríguez46'for N. Rodriguez
7Marlos Moreno59'for E. Benitez
14Elkin Rivero
22Elías Cabrera46'for J. Zapata
29Andrés Sarmiento
9Alfredo Morelos59'for M. Uribe90+3'
Once Caldas Substitutes
12Jesús Camargo
18Jeider Riquett
3Andres Correa68'for J. Patino
16Juan Castaño
15Jaime Alvarado
29Edwin Torres82'for J. Nieto
20Andrés Roa63'for J. Quinones
28Mateo Zuleta
36Rafael Acuna
17Dayro Moreno63'for J. A. Zapata Ramirez79'
21Helieyker Guzman63'for P. Gomez
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas 66%Ball Possession34%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box2
8Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
14Fouls8
2Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves6
398Total Passes209
342Passes Accurate155
86%Pass Accuracy74%
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas1754Elo Rating 1634
1.61Attack 1.41
2.39Defense 2.64
59%Hit Rate 64%
12.1Shots per Game 20.7
5.5Shots on Target 7.6
3.1Corners per Game 7.0
3.1Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Once Caldas2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
11/11/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional11
02/05/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
23/10/2025Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas20
10/10/2025Once CaldasAtletico Nacional01
12/07/2025Once CaldasAtletico Nacional13
20/06/2025Once CaldasAtletico Nacional12
02/06/2025Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas00
26/01/2025Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas40
27/07/2024Once CaldasAtletico Nacional20
02/02/2024Atletico NacionalOnce Caldas11
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional6W3D1L
11/11/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional
08/11/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional11
DAtletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira43
W03/11/2026
BucaramangaAtletico Nacional
30/10/2026BucaramangaAtletico Nacional11
DAtletico Nacional
Santa Fe20
W26/10/2026Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin21
W23/10/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto30
W21/10/2026
CucutaAtletico Nacional10
L17/10/2026
ChicoAtletico Nacional14
W15/10/2026Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin32
W09/10/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima00
DOnce Caldas5W4D1L
11/11/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional
07/11/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional11
DOnce Caldas
Águilas Doradas10
W02/11/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas02
W29/10/2026Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar10
W25/10/2026Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira11
D21/10/2026
MillonariosOnce Caldas11
D18/10/2026Independiente MedellinOnce Caldas02
W10/10/2026Once Caldas
Llaneros10
W04/10/2026
Internacional de BogotaOnce Caldas
26/09/2026Internacional de BogotaOnce Caldas11
DOnce CaldasBucaramanga13
LReferee Profile
5.96Cards per match
5.56Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.96 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).
Cards come from 202 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LLWWD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWLWD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | +12 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 24 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 20 | WLLWL |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13:30 | -17 | 15 | LLWWD |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 30:18 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 29:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 21:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 25:25 | 23 |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 26:27 | 22 |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 15:29 | 20 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 13:30 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
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This match
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About the Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Once Caldas 5th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.