Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction

Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
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Atletico Nacional Rest
4 days
Santa Fe Rest
3 days

Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe preview: form and head-to-head

This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 4 wins from five for Atletico Nacional and 4 for Santa Fe. They meet in the Primera A on 30 Oct 2026.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.53
X
4.00
2
5.75
Double Chance
1X
1.10
X2
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.83
No
1.85
Goals
Over 1.5
1.24
Over 2.5
1.80
Over 3.5
2.88
Under 1.5
3.71
Under 2.5
1.97
Under 3.5
1.35
Corners
Over 8.5
1.37
Over 9.5
1.61
Over 10.5
1.95
Under 8.5
2.75
Under 9.5
2.12
Under 10.5
1.73
Cards
Over 3.5
-
Over 4.5
-
Under 3.5
-
Under 4.5
-
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Santa FeSanta Fe
1735Elo Rating 1666
2.08Attack 1.38
2.24Defense 1.97
63%Hit Rate 58%
16.2Shots per Game 14.3
6.4Shots on Target 5.4
5.3Corners per Game 3.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Santa FeSanta Fe1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A26/02/2026
Santa FeAtletico Nacional
12
Primera A26/07/2025
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
11
Primera A13/06/2025
Santa FeAtletico Nacional
12
Primera A08/06/2025
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
12
Primera A13/02/2025
Santa FeAtletico Nacional
22
Primera A09/12/2024
Santa FeAtletico Nacional
03
Primera A21/11/2024
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
50
Primera A05/11/2024
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
11
Primera A13/04/2024
Santa FeAtletico Nacional
00
Primera A21/09/2023
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
30

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Nacional and Santa Fe in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Santa Fe 7th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Santa Fe 29-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.