Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 33
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense preview: form and head-to-head
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Gremio on 1 win from their last five and Atletico Paranaense on 2. They meet in the Serie A on 30 Oct 2026.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 8.9 a game to 5.4 for Gremio.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Gremio
Atletico ParanaenseGame State Tendencies
Gremio- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Paranaense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Gremio3Wins · 43%3Wins · 43%Previous meetings
03/05/2026Atletico ParanaenseGremio04/08/2024Atletico ParanaenseGremio18/04/2024GremioAtletico Paranaense19/10/2023GremioAtletico Paranaense27/05/2023Atletico ParanaenseGremio26/09/2021Atletico ParanaenseGremio13/06/2021GremioAtletico ParanaenseRecent Form
Gremio
CoritibaGremioGremio
CruzeiroGremio
Internacional
RemoGremioGremio
Palmeiras
BotafogoGremioGremio
Vasco DA Gama
VitoriaGremioGremioInternacionalGremio
Chapecoense-scAtletico ParanaenseVitoriaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaensePalmeirasChapecoense-scAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense
BahiaCoritibaAtletico ParanaenseCruzeiroAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
FluminenseBotafogoAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
RB BragantinoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.16 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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About the Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gremio and Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Paranaense are 4th in the Serie A, while Gremio sit 17th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Gremio 35-44, Atletico Paranaense 50-38. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.