Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 27
12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.57SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap+3.8%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.83SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+4.8%
Coritiba Rest
5 days
Atletico Paranaense Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%3.12
X29%3.19
232%2.33
Double Chance
1X68%1.57
X261%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.83
No43%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.15 = 2.43
Over 1.573%1.36
Over 2.547%2.16
Over 3.527%3.90
Under 1.527%3.00
Under 2.553%1.70
Under 3.573%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.559%1.28
Over 9.546%1.52
Over 10.536%1.87
Under 8.541%3.14
Under 9.554%2.31
Under 10.564%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.14
Over 4.545%1.29
Under 3.536%5.30
Under 4.555%3.40
Match Events
14'Luiz GustavoAssist: Lucas Esquivel
28'Joaquin LavegaFoul
30'Arthur DiasAssist: João Victor Machado Cruz
34'JacyFoul
34'Kevin ViverosDissent
43'João Victor Machado CruzFoul
44'Card upgrade confirmedBreno Lopes
45+1'Breno LopesAbusive Language
45+2'Tiago Coser
45+5'João Vitor Silva Dantas de OliveiraFoul
45+9'JP ChermontFoul
45+12'Pedro RochaHandball
45'Gaston Americo Benavidez INGilberto out
45'João Victor Machado Cruz INCarlos Teran out
45'Bruno Melo INRichard out
45'Pedro Rocha INRodrigo Rodrigues out
45'Joaquin Lavega INPaulo Roberto out
45'JP Chermont INRodrigo Moledo out
45'João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira INAntonio Feliphe Costa Silva out
63'Kevin Viveros(Penalty)
67'Kevin Viveros INRenan Peixoto Nepomuceno out
74'Thiago Santos INRodrigo Silva Nascimento out
90+1'Rodrigo MoledoAssist: Josué
90+3'Luiz GustavoDissent
90+4'Stiven Mendoza INJuan Portilla out
90+7'Rodrigo MoledoAssist: Josué
Lineups
CoritibaAtletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Odair Hellmann
1P. LuccasPedro Luccas
44J. Pedro ChermontJoão Pedro Chermont
23T. CóserTiago Cóser
55JacyJacy
26B. MeloBruno Melo
21T. SantosThiago Santos
19S. GómezS. Gómez
77B. LopesBreno Lopes
10JosuéJosué
7J. LavegaJ. Lavega
32P. RochaPedro Rocha
1MycaelMycael
25DantasDantas
33J. AguirreJ. Aguirre
4A. DiasArthur Dias
29G. BenavídezG. Benavídez
16JádsonJádson
14L. GustavoLuiz Gustavo
37L. EsquivelL. Esquivel
8J. CruzJoão Cruz
7S. MendozaS. Mendoza
9K. ViverosK. ViverosCoritiba Substitutes
39GustavoM
28FabinhoF
3MaiconD
18Paulo RobertoM
22Pedro RangelG
78Renato MarquesF
25RichardM
66Rodrigo GeladoD
4Rodrigo MoledoD
99Rodrigo RodriguesF
50TissiM
36Vini PaulistaF
Atletico Paranaense Substitutes
10B. ZapelliM
22C. TeránD
23SantosG
70RenanF
27J. PortillaM
21LeozinhoF
3LéoD
12GilbertoD
5FelipinhoD
53DuduM
18K. VargasF
47ChiquetiM
Match Stats
CoritibaAtletico Paranaense 61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
22Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots5
15Fouls23
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
252Total Passes162
121Passes Accurate70
21Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
CoritibaAtletico Paranaense1652Elo Rating 1720
2.09Attack 2.26
1.04Defense 0.45
36%Hit Rate 17%
16.2Shots per Game 13.4
5.5Shots on Target 5.9
5.5Corners per Game 3.9
2.7Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Coritiba- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Paranaense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Coritiba 39%Draw 34%27% Atletico Paranaense
0.93Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Coritiba3W1D1L
Atletico Paranaense2W2D1L
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | +31 | 57 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | +26 | 56 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | +10 | 46 | DLDWD |
| 4 |  Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | +9 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | +6 | 45 | LWDWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | +4 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 | DLWWD |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | +3 | 36 | DLLWD |
| 10 |  Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 | WWWDW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | +1 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 | DWLDD |
| 16 |  Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 | LLWLL |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 | WLWLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 | WLLDD |
| 19 |  Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 | LWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 39:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 27 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 27 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 26 | 38:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 26 | 28:35 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco DA Gama | 26 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 31:45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 26 | 28:52 | 17 |
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Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Serie A
ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have met 5 times recently, averaging 0.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.