Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 25
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense: the result in context
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense drew 3-3 in the Serie A on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Avg ratingAvg rating
C23Santos
25Dantas
33J. Felipe Aguirre
4A. Dias
29G. Benavídez
16Jádson
14L. Gustavo
7S. Mendoza
21Leozinho
8J. Cruz
9K. Viveros
1Fábio
23Guga
4Ignácio
29J. Millán
6Renê
16Nonato
8Martinelli
17A. Canobbio
C10Ganso
30Y. Soteldo
7HulkAtletico Paranaense Substitutes
Fluminense Substitutes
Match Stats
Atletico ParanaenseFluminense Team Comparison
Atletico ParanaenseFluminenseAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Paranaense- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fluminense- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Paranaense2Wins · 22%5Wins · 56%Previous meetings
15/03/2026FluminenseAtletico Paranaense01/12/2024Atletico ParanaenseFluminense23/10/2024FluminenseAtletico Paranaense27/08/2023Atletico ParanaenseFluminense22/04/2023FluminenseAtletico Paranaense04/09/2022Atletico ParanaenseFluminense15/05/2022FluminenseAtletico Paranaense17/10/2021Atletico ParanaenseFluminense30/06/2021FluminenseAtletico ParanaenseRecent Form
Atletico Paranaense
BotafogoAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
SantosAtletico Paranaense
VitoriaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseVitoria
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Internacional
Sao PauloAtletico ParanaenseRB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseFluminense
Remo
Independ. RivadaviaFluminenseFluminense
PalmeirasFluminenseIndepend. RivadaviaBotafogoFluminenseFluminense
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaFluminenseFluminense
Bahia
GremioFluminenseFluminenseRB BragantinoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense in the Serie A table
Fluminense and Atletico Paranaense are close in the Serie A table, 4th and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 51-43, Fluminense 55-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.