D. La Serena vs Palestino Prediction

D. La Serena
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Palestino
La Portada, La Serena·Jose Cabero 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
D. La Serena Rest
6 days
Palestino Rest
4 days

D. La Serena vs Palestino: result, form and history

D. La Serena beat Palestino 1-0 in the Primera División on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.3 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Referee Jose Cabero averages 4.31 cards a game, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.42
X
27%3.34
2
36%2.71
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
63%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.47 = 2.99
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
52%1.90
Over 3.5
32%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.45
Under 2.5
48%1.85
Under 3.5
68%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.49
Over 9.5
52%1.81
Over 10.5
41%2.38
Under 8.5
36%2.42
Under 9.5
48%1.87
Under 10.5
59%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%1.55
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%2.35

Match Events

8'Nicolás MezaFoul
31'Jose BizamaFoul
36'Sebastian GallegosFoul
63'Francisco Montes INBryan Carrasco out
63'Ronnie Fernández INGonzalo Tapia out
65'Diego Rubio
65'Yahir Salazar INF. Dinamarca out
65'Diego Rubio INÁngelo Henríquez out
74'Sebastian Gallegos INJoe Abrigo out
74'Nicolás Meza INMarcelo Eggel out
84'Felipe Chamorro INAlexander Oroz out
84'Jason León INMartin Araya out
84'Lucas Alarcon INMatías Pérez out
90+4'Gonzalo Escalante INMilovan Joseph Velásquez Blaset out
90+9'Penalty cancelledVicente Espinoza

Lineups

D. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Felipe Gutiérrez
Palestino
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Farré
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.41
J. Tapia6.831J. Tapia
I. Rasso7.834I. Rasso
L. Alarcón7.85L. Alarcón
R. Delgado7.733R. Delgado
Y. Salazar7.317Y. Salazar
G. Escalante6.68G. Escalante
S. Diaz6.76S. Diaz
M. Marín7.023M. Marín
F. Chamorro6.714F. Chamorro
J. Vargas6.810J. Vargas
D. Rubio7.911D. Rubio
S. Pérez6.925S. Pérez
V. Espinoza6.82V. Espinoza
J. Bizama7.116J. Bizama
E. Roco7.03E. Roco
J. León6.623J. León
D. Glaby6.05D. Glaby
N. Meza6.28N. Meza
I. Alegria6.230I. Alegria
S. Gallegos5.918S. Gallegos
F. Montes6.115F. Montes
R. Fernández6.59R. Fernández

D. La Serena Substitutes

26F. Dinamarca65'for Yahir Salazar7.1
21B. Gutiérrez
9Á. Henríquez65'for Diego Rubio6.5
28Y. Salazar65'replaced by F. Dinamarca7.3
7A. Oroz84'for Felipe Chamorro6.5
3M. Pérez84'for Lucas Alarcon7.0
38I. Sáez
20Milovan Velasquez90+4'for Gonzalo Escalante
39Gaspar Ignacio Chaura González

Palestino Substitutes

24D. Salgado
1S. Salas
10A. Martínez
17M. Eggel74'for Nicolás Meza6.4
4A. Ceza
20G. Tapia63'for Ronnie Fernández5.8
7B. Carrasco63'for Francisco Montes6.3
21M. Araya84'for Jason León6.3
14J. Abrigo74'for Sebastian Gallegos6.6

Match Stats

D. La SerenaPalestino
54%Ball Possession46%
11Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal9
14Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls8
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
423Total Passes399
338Passes Accurate316
8Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
PalestinoPalestino
1539Elo Rating 1560
1.36Attack 1.23
1.55Defense 1.47
37%Hit Rate 14%
11.9Shots per Game 15.6
4.6Shots on Target 5.4
4.8Corners per Game 6.3
3.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
PalestinoPalestino
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 60% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

D. La SerenaD. La Serena1Wins · 14%
Draws229%
PalestinoPalestino4Wins · 57%
4.3Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera División16/05/2026
PalestinoD. La Serena
51
Primera División29/11/2025
D. La SerenaPalestino
03
Primera División14/06/2025
PalestinoD. La Serena
21
Primera División23/10/2022
PalestinoD. La Serena
50
Primera División14/05/2022
D. La SerenaPalestino
00
Primera División25/10/2021
PalestinoD. La Serena
33
Primera División20/07/2021
D. La SerenaPalestino
43

Referee Profile

Jose Cabero13 matches

4.31Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Cabero4.31
Other referees5.52

4.31 cards a match, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.52).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the D. La Serena vs Palestino forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

D. La Serena and Palestino in the Primera División table

Palestino and D. La Serena are close in the Primera División table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: D. La Serena 40-42, Palestino 39-38. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.