A. Italiano vs O'Higgins Prediction

A. Italiano
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
O'Higgins
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile·N. Millas 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
A. Italiano Rest
8 days
O'Higgins Rest
7 days

A. Italiano vs O'Higgins: result, form and history

A. Italiano beat O'Higgins 1-0 in the Primera División on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.60
X
30%3.30
2
28%2.55
Double Chance
1X
72%1.44
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.67
No
32%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.3 = 2.87
Over 1.5
85%1.26
Over 2.5
58%1.86
Over 3.5
34%3.21
Under 1.5
15%3.55
Under 2.5
42%1.89
Under 3.5
66%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
59%1.47
Over 9.5
46%1.84
Over 10.5
36%2.29
Under 8.5
41%2.48
Under 9.5
54%1.89
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%1.37
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%2.92

Match Events

22'Ignacio SchorFoul
27'Giovani Chiaverano Meroi
40'Raimundo RebolledoPersistent infringement
45'Ignacio Schor INSantiago Federico Toloza out
49'Luis PavezFoul
65'Bastián Yáñez INThiago Vecino out
66'Paolo GuajardoFoul
72'Giovani Chiaverano Meroi INMichael Fuentes out
74'Arnaldo CastilloArgument
74'Enzo FerrarioArgument
78'Paolo Guajardo INDiego Monreal out
83'Juan Leiva INJoaquín Edgardo Muñoz Riffo out
83'Felipe Ogaz INTomas Avilés out
90+2'Michael FuentesFoul
90+2'Franco Troyansky INF. Loyola out
90+4'Raimundo Rebolledo INOliver Rojas out
90+11'F. LoyolaSerious foul
90+13'Luis Pavez INJoaquín Tapia out

Lineups

A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: P. Graff
O'Higgins
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.54
T. Ahumada7.61T. Ahumada
R. Rebolledo6.235R. Rebolledo
E. Ferrario6.513E. Ferrario
M. Ortiz7.029M. Ortiz
F. Salomoni7.13F. Salomoni
P. Guajardo6.57P. Guajardo
M. Collao6.38M. Collao
C. Pinares6.619C. Pinares
G. Chiaverano7.921G. Chiaverano
F. Troyansky6.411F. Troyansky
D. Coelho6.19D. Coelho
O. Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González6.33F. Andrés Faúndez González
A. Robledo6.522A. Robledo
N. Garrido6.921N. Garrido
L. Pavez6.86L. Pavez
F. Ogaz6.18F. Ogaz
J. Leiva6.811J. Leiva
I. Schor6.225I. Schor
W. Bou6.628W. Bou
B. Yáñez6.929B. Yáñez
A. Castillo6.09A. Castillo

A. Italiano Substitutes

14D. Monreal78'for Paolo Guajardo6.7
27M. Fuentes72'for Giovani Chiaverano Meroi90+2'6.4
25P. Garrido
17F. Loyola90+2'for Franco Troyansky90+11'5.7
22D. Pizarro
16O. Rojas90+4'for Raimundo Rebolledo
6M. Sandoval
30A. Uribe
2V. Zenteno

O'Higgins Substitutes

17T. Avilés83'for Felipe Ogaz6.5
23D. Carreño
20L. Díaz
2C. Morales
27J. Movillo
13J. Muñoz83'for Juan Leiva6.4
30J. Tapia90+13'for Luis Pavez
7S. Toloza45'for Ignacio Schor7.1
32T. Vecino65'for Bastián Yáñez6.2

Match Stats

A. ItalianoO'Higgins
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal11
6Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls5
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
292Total Passes527
203Passes Accurate448
70%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
O'HigginsO'Higgins
1563Elo Rating 1597
0.42Attack 0.97
1.87Defense 2.38
0%Hit Rate 58%
16.9Shots per Game 17.3
6.7Shots on Target 4.1
6.3Corners per Game 5.3
4.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

A. ItalianoA. Italiano4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
O'HigginsO'Higgins4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/04/2026
O'HigginsA. Italiano
21
Primera División30/08/2025
O'HigginsA. Italiano
32
Primera División13/04/2025
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
10
Primera División01/10/2024
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
20
Primera División06/05/2024
O'HigginsA. Italiano
05
Primera División03/09/2023
O'HigginsA. Italiano
21
Copa Chile04/07/2023
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
02
Primera División14/03/2023
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
22
Primera División01/08/2022
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
21
Primera División06/03/2022
O'HigginsA. Italiano
22

Referee Profile

N. Millas90 matches

6.19Cards per match
5.69Yellow cards per match
0.50Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

N. Millas6.19
Other referees5.86

6.19 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.86).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the A. Italiano vs O'Higgins forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

A. Italiano and O'Higgins in the Primera División table

O'Higgins and A. Italiano are close in the Primera División table, 12th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: A. Italiano 28-36, O'Higgins 32-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.