Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction

Urawa
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
V-varen Nagasaki
Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama·Masuya Ueda 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Urawa Rest
3 days
V-varen Nagasaki Rest
3 days

Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki: the result in context

Urawa beat V-varen Nagasaki 1-0 in the J1 League on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Urawa had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Urawa tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 3.1 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.62
X
24%3.98
2
18%5.18
Double Chance
1X
82%1.15
X2
42%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.02 = 2.71
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.76
Over 3.5
32%2.80
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
46%2.04
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.53
Over 9.5
52%1.90
Over 10.5
41%2.44
Under 8.5
36%2.31
Under 9.5
48%1.82
Under 10.5
59%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.5
33%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
67%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

64'Hayate Ueki INShuta Sasa out
64'Ado Onaiwu INHiiro Komori out
68'Tenmu Matsumoto INKenshin Yasuda out
71'Matheus SávioAssist: Samuel Gustafson
71'Goal confirmedMatheus Sávio
80'Shunya Yoneda INAsahi Masuyama out
80'Jonathan Junior INKeita Nakamura out
81'Takuro Kaneko INRenji Hidano out
86'Hotaru Yamaguchi INEmerson Santana Deocleciano out
87'Matheus Sávio INHarumi Minamino out
87'Samuel Gustafson INYoichi Naganuma out
90+1'Matheus JesusFoul

Lineups

Urawa
4-3-3Coach: Gwi-jae Jo
V-varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1Coach: T. Takagi
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.27
S. Nishikawa7.11S. Nishikawa
Danilo Boza6.83D. Boza
Y. Miyamoto6.52Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto7.05K. Nemoto
K. Hayashi6.318K. Hayashi
T. Seko7.212T. Seko
Samuel Gustafson7.711S. Gustafson
H. Ueki6.837H. Ueki
T. Kaneko6.57T. Kaneko
A. Onaiwu6.445A. Onaiwu
Matheus Sávio8.010M. Sávio
M. Goto6.61M. Goto
K. Doi5.931K. Doi
I. Arai6.229I. Arai
Y. Egawa6.66Y. Egawa
H. Onaga6.422H. Onaga
H. Yamaguchi6.55H. Yamaguchi
M. Hasegawa6.841M. Hasegawa
S. Yoneda6.023S. Yoneda
Matheus Jesus6.010M. Jesus
T. Matsumoto6.534T. Matsumoto
Jonathan6.199Jonathan

Urawa Substitutes

23K. Fukui
39J. Hayakawa
36R. Hidano81'for Takuro Kaneko6.6
17H. Komori64'for Ado Onaiwu6.9
15K. Kudo
42H. Minamino87'for Matheus Sávio6.1
88Y. Naganuma87'for Samuel Gustafson6.4
33S. Sasa64'for Hayate Ueki 6.6
43T. Wada

V-varen Nagasaki Substitutes

7K. Yasuda68'for Tenmu Matsumoto6.1
18R. Yamasaki
24R. Yamada
50R. Shindo
20K. Nakamura80'for Jonathan Junior5.8
88A. Masuyama80'for Shunya Yoneda6.3
13G. Hatano
16Emerson Deocleciano86'for Hotaru Yamaguchi6.3
21Diego Pituca

Match Stats

UrawaV-varen Nagasaki
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box4
13Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots3
9Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
519Total Passes344
423Passes Accurate241
82%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

UrawaUrawa
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
1624Elo Rating 1527
2.24Attack 1.44
1.68Defense 1.90
83%Hit Rate 27%
16.5Shots per Game 13.2
4.2Shots on Target 3.7
7.7Corners per Game 3.1
0.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UrawaUrawa
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

UrawaUrawa0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

J-League Cup22/05/2024
V-varen NagasakiUrawa
10

Recent Form

UrawaUrawa
8W0D2L
21/10/2026
UrawaJEF United Chiba
32
W
17/10/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
01
W
14/10/2026
Yokohama FCUrawa
04
W
10/10/2026
FC TokyoUrawa
30
L
07/10/2026
UrawaOmiya Ardija
32
W
29/09/2026
Kataller ToyamaUrawa
23
W
19/09/2026
UrawaTokyo Verdy
31
W
13/09/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
12
L
06/09/2026
KashimaUrawa
01
W
02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
W
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
3W3D4L
21/10/2026
V-varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
40
W
17/10/2026
KashimaV-varen Nagasaki
20
L
11/10/2026
JEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
11
D
07/10/2026
Shimizu S-pulseV-varen Nagasaki
2111
L
29/09/2026
Gainare TottoriV-varen Nagasaki
20
L
19/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
11
D
12/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
20
W
09/09/2026
Kochi UnitedV-varen Nagasaki
01
W
06/09/2026
Vissel KobeV-varen Nagasaki
31
L
02/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiGamba Osaka
22
D

Referee Profile

Masuya Ueda149 matches

2.70Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Masuya Ueda2.70
Other referees2.53

2.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.53).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Urawa are 7th and V-varen Nagasaki 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Urawa 21-23, V-varen Nagasaki 15-19. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.