Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction

Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki·Keigo Sendachi 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
3 days
Fagiano Okayama Rest
3 days

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama: result, form and history

Kawasaki Frontale beat Fagiano Okayama 2-1 in the J1 League on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kawasaki Frontale had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fagiano Okayama.

Fagiano Okayama tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.3 for Kawasaki Frontale.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.10
X
26%3.52
2
24%3.30
Double Chance
1X
75%1.30
X2
50%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.1 = 2.74
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.76
Over 3.5
32%2.80
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
46%2.04
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.46
Over 9.5
48%1.81
Over 10.5
36%2.25
Under 8.5
40%2.50
Under 9.5
52%1.92
Under 10.5
64%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.5
34%-
Over 4.5
18%-
Under 3.5
66%-
Under 4.5
82%-

Match Events

12'Derik LacerdaAssist: Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa
27'Yoshitake SuzukiFoul
45+3'Lucas Marcos MeirelesDissent
51'Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaAssist: Tatsuya Ito
55'Eiji Miyamoto INKamiya Yuta out
55'Kota Kawano INLéo Gaúcho out
59'Derik LacerdaFoul
61'Masaya Matsumoto INSoichiro Mori out
64'Derik Lacerda INKyosuke Mochiyama out
72'Lucas Marcos Meireles INRyoga Sato out
72'Haruka Motoyama INTowa Yamane out
72'Reon Yamahara INAsahi Sasaki out
72'Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa INShuto Yamaichi out
75'Oberdan Alionço de Lima
82'Yuki Yamamoto INSo Kawahara out
82'Tatsuya Ito INYuto Ozeki out

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Hasebe
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1Coach: T. Kiyama
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.31
S. Brodersen6.049S. Brodersen
R. Yamahara6.629R. Yamahara
Pedro Romano6.74P. Romano
F. Uremović7.022F. Uremović
S. Miura7.213S. Miura
K. Tachibanada6.38K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto6.26Y. Yamamoto
T. Ito6.317T. Ito
Y. Wakizaka6.614Y. Wakizaka
Marcinho8.223Marcinho
Derik Lacerda7.597D. Lacerda
L. Moser6.01L. Moser
H. Motoyama6.026H. Motoyama
Y. Tatsuta6.548Y. Tatsuta
Y. Suzuki5.543Y. Suzuki
M. Matsumoto5.928M. Matsumoto
E. Miyamoto7.041E. Miyamoto
Oberdan8.180Oberdan
K. Shirai6.251K. Shirai
K. Kawano6.520K. Kawano
A. Esaka6.18A. Esaka
Lucão6.199Lucão

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

19S. Kawahara82'for Yuki Yamamoto6.5
11Y. Kobayashi
28Y. Maruyama
20K. Mochiyama64'for Derik Lacerda6.4
34Ryuki Osa
16Y. Ozeki82'for Tatsuya Ito6.3
5A. Sasaki72'for Reon Yamahara6.1
1L. Yamaguchi
25Shuto Yamaichi72'for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa6.4

Fagiano Okayama Substitutes

88T. Yamane72'for Haruka Motoyama5.7
7R. Takeuchi
19R. Sato72'for Lucas Marcos Meireles6.6
44S. Mori61'for Masaya Matsumoto6.3
9Léo Gaúcho55'for Kota Kawano6.4
33Y. Kamiya55'for Eiji Miyamoto6.2
52T. Hamada
24I. Fujita
55Y. Fujii

Match Stats

Kawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal12
5Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots6
9Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
409Total Passes370
297Passes Accurate284
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
1649Elo Rating 1563
2.68Attack 1.43
1.94Defense 1.40
83%Hit Rate 41%
12.7Shots per Game 12.6
5.1Shots on Target 4.2
3.3Corners per Game 5.8
1.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

J1 League08/11/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
11
J1 League16/03/2025
Fagiano OkayamaKawasaki Frontale
00

Recent Form

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
7W1D2L
21/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleVissel Kobe
21
W
17/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
24
W
14/10/2026
Jubilo IwataKawasaki Frontale
04
W
11/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
12
L
07/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTegevajaro Miyazaki
20
W
29/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoKawasaki Frontale
01
W
19/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
33
D
12/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
01
W
06/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
31
W
02/09/2026
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
6W0D4L
21/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
20
W
18/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaVissel Kobe
03
L
14/10/2026
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
4333
L
10/10/2026
Avispa FukuokaFagiano Okayama
21
L
07/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaJEF United Chiba
10
W
29/09/2026
Consadole SapporoFagiano Okayama
12
W
19/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaKyoto Sanga
12
L
13/09/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
12
W
06/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima
32
W
02/09/2026
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama
12
W

Referee Profile

Keigo Sendachi128 matches

2.87Cards per match
2.83Yellow cards per match
0.04Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Keigo Sendachi2.87
Other referees2.63

2.87 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.63).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kawasaki Frontale are 6th and Fagiano Okayama 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Kawasaki Frontale 25-18, Fagiano Okayama 15-17. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.