Rochdale vs Grimsby Prediction

Rochdale
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Grimsby
Spotland, Rochdale 20/10/2026
RochdaleRochdale
2-2
Finished
GrimsbyGrimsby

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-9.3%
Rochdale Rest
3 days
Grimsby Rest
3 days

Rochdale vs Grimsby: result, form and history

Rochdale and Grimsby drew 2-2 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. Rochdale had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Grimsby.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.19
X
27%3.52
2
40%2.15
Double Chance
1X
60%1.67
X2
67%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.04 = 2.23
Over 1.5
73%1.22
Over 2.5
50%1.74
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
27%4.00
Under 2.5
50%2.06
Under 3.5
71%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.06
Under 8.5
42%2.78
Under 9.5
54%2.06
Under 10.5
65%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

6'Charles Vernam
20'Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoFoul
38'Dajaune BrownAssist: Glenn Middleton
42'Maldini KacurriFoul
45'Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling INK. Taylor out
49'Edward FrancisFoul
50'Jamie WalkerFoul
57'Kieran Green
65'Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko INsam beckwith out
67'Cian HayesFoul
68'Ian WatsonDissent
72'Jamie Walker
75'Cian Hayes INLuke Hannant out
76'Jamie Walker INCian Doyle out
76'Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor INSonny Finch out
81'K. Taylor INIan Henderson out
88'Ian Henderson
89'Iwan Morgan INFinn Cartwright out

Lineups

Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Grimsby
3-1-4-2Coach: D. Artell
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.43
Sam William John Waller6.220S. William John Waller
O. Adebayo-Rowling6.413O. Adebayo-Rowling
A. Flint6.544A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson6.43K. Wilson
C. Tasker6.72C. Tasker
H. Gilmour6.68H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko6.117B. Adeeko
C. Hayes5.97C. Hayes
E. Francis6.314E. Francis
G. Middleton7.545G. Middleton
D. Brown7.939D. Brown
C. Pym6.031C. Pym
H. Rodgers6.65H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri6.22M. Kacurri
J. Foulkes6.312J. Foulkes
G. Turi6.515G. Turi
J. Amaluzor6.414J. Amaluzor
K. Green7.34K. Green
J. Walker7.07J. Walker
C. Vernam6.330C. Vernam
A. Cook6.539A. Cook
Iwan Morgan6.19I. Morgan

Rochdale Substitutes

11Z. Silcott-Duberry
33S. Beckwith65'for Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko6.2
19L. Hannant75'for Cian Hayes6.1
40I. Henderson81'replaced by K. Taylor88'8.2
26S. Sherring
12J. Spaven
21Kane Taylor45'for Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling81'for Ian Henderson5.9

Grimsby Substitutes

1H. Cartwright
8Cian Doyle76'for Jamie Walker6.1
10S. Finch76'for Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor6.6
11Ryley Reynolds
50Malaki Jahiem Golding
28F. Cartwright89'for Iwan Morgan6.0
23H. Brown

Match Stats

RochdaleGrimsby
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots23
5Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal9
13Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots7
13Fouls8
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
385Total Passes329
261Passes Accurate209
7Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

RochdaleRochdale
GrimsbyGrimsby
1520Elo Rating 1543
1.01Attack 1.54
0.00Defense 1.72
0%Hit Rate 27%
9.5Shots per Game 17.5
2.3Shots on Target 5.7
4.8Corners per Game 6.7
1.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
GrimsbyGrimsby
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

RochdaleRochdale0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
GrimsbyGrimsby2Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two11/03/2023
GrimsbyRochdale
10
League Two13/08/2022
RochdaleGrimsby
01

Recent Form

GrimsbyGrimsby
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
GrimsbyNorthampton
02
L
10/10/2026
Port ValeGrimsby
10
L
06/10/2026
GrimsbyBurton Albion
2040
L
03/10/2026
GrimsbyShrewsbury
12
L
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
21
L
22/09/2026
Notts CountyGrimsby
21
L
19/09/2026
GrimsbyCrawley Town
20
W
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
W
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Rochdale vs Grimsby forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rochdale and Grimsby in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Grimsby are 5th and Rochdale 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Rochdale 17-26, Grimsby 24-18. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rochdale and Grimsby have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.