Lens vs Marseille Prediction
France · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lens vs Marseille: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Lens
Avg ratingAvg rating
40R. Risser
24J. Gradit
6S. Baidoo
20J. Todibo
23S. Abdulhamid
8Y. Titraoui
21A. Haidara
14M. Udol
10F. Thauvin
7F. Sotoca
9T. Hazard
1J. de Lange
22T. Weah
4C. Egan-Riley
21N. Aguerd
25U. Garcia
6T. Nnadi
23P. Højbjerg
77A. Harit
8H. Abdelli
14I. Paixão
9A. GouiriLens Substitutes
Marseille Substitutes
Match Stats
LensMarseille Team Comparison
LensMarseilleAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lens- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Marseille- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Lens6Wins · 60%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
24/01/2026MarseilleLens25/10/2025LensMarseille08/03/2025MarseilleLens23/11/2024LensMarseille28/04/2024MarseilleLens12/11/2023LensMarseille06/05/2023LensMarseille22/10/2022MarseilleLens22/01/2022LensMarseille26/09/2021MarseilleLensRecent Form
Lens
Marseille
Bayer LeverkusenMarseilleMarseille
ToulouseMarseille
Le Havre
Sturm GrazMarseille
AngersMarseilleMarseille
Olympiakos Piraeus
Estac TroyesMarseilleMarseille
Paris Saint Germain
BeşiktaşMarseille
RennesMarseilleReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).
Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 |  Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Lens vs Marseille forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lens and Marseille in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille are 4th and Lens 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Lens 17-15, Marseille 22-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Marseille have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.