Mirassol vs Sao Paulo Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 32
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo: what the numbers say
There is little to separate the two on recent form: Mirassol have won 2 of their last five and Sao Paulo 3. The match is played in the Serie A on 24 Oct 2026.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Lucas Casagrande averages 4.60 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Mirassol
Sao PauloGame State Tendencies
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sao Paulo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Mirassol3Wins · 33%4Wins · 45%Previous meetings
26/04/2026Sao PauloMirassol
12/01/2026MirassolSao Paulo19/10/2025MirassolSao Paulo24/05/2025Sao PauloMirassol05/02/2025Sao PauloMirassol23/01/2024MirassolSao Paulo13/03/2022MirassolSao Paulo18/05/2021Sao PauloMirassol09/05/2021MirassolSao PauloRecent Form
MirassolMirassol
Internacional
BahiaMirassol
RB BragantinoMirassolMirassol
BotafogoMirassol
Vitoria
CoritibaMirassol
FlamengoMirassolMirassol
Palmeiras
SantosMirassol
LDU de QuitoMirassolSao PauloSao Paulo
Vasco DA GamaSao PauloVitoria
CruzeiroSao PauloSao PauloSantosSao PauloInternacionalSao Paulo
Boca JuniorsPalmeirasSao PauloBoca JuniorsSao PauloSao Paulo
Atletico-MGSao PauloRB BragantinoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.60 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.10).
Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | +4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
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This match
About the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Mirassol and Sao Paulo in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Sao Paulo are 9th and Mirassol 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Mirassol 36-44, Sao Paulo 36-35. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.