Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Bahia Rest
2 days
Mirassol Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.67
X24%4.05
220%4.75
Double Chance
1X80%1.18
X244%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.62
No43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1 = 2.64
Over 1.579%1.17
Over 2.557%1.63
Over 3.535%2.46
Under 1.521%4.50
Under 2.543%2.27
Under 3.565%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.8 = 10.7
Over 8.566%1.21
Over 9.559%1.40
Over 10.549%1.70
Under 8.534%3.59
Under 9.541%2.60
Under 10.551%2.04
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.565%1.33
Over 4.545%1.73
Under 3.535%3.07
Under 4.555%2.01
Match Events
11'Goal cancelledMarcos Victor
34'Penalty confirmedCristian Olivera
35'Chico Kim
36'Walter Leandro Capeloza ArtuneDissent
38'Luciano(Penalty)
45'Chico Kim INCarlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve out
45'Alesson dos Santos Batista INEdson Carioca out
45'Gustavo Henric da Silva INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
59'Caio Alexandre INErick Luis Conrado Carvalho out
59'Marcos Victor INRomán Gómez out
63'Jean LucasFoul
67'Bruno Santos de Oliveira INAndré Luis out
72'Cristian Olivera INAdemir out
73'Denilson Alves Borges INCarlos Eduardo out
73'Rodrigo Nestor INÉverton Ribeiro out
78'Carlos EduardoFoul
87'Alejo Veliz INWillian José out
90+3'Neto MouraFoul
90+4'Penalty confirmedAndré Luis
90+7'Reinaldo(Penalty missed)
Lineups
BahiaMirassol
4-3-3Coach: Rafael GuanaesAvg ratingAvg rating
1Ronaldo
44M. Victor
33D. Duarte
3M. Moreno
46L. Juba
6J. Lucas
8C. Alexandre
11R. Nestor
99C. Olivera
9A. Véliz
16E. Pulga
22Walter
32I. Formiga
2L. Oliveira
3W. Machado
6Reinaldo
27Denilson
25N. Moura
10Chico
19G. Silva
30B. Santos
77AlessonBahia Substitutes
66Zé Guilherme
14Erick59'for Caio Alexandre
31Roman Gomez59'for Marcos Victor
17G. Herrera
18Lautaro López
23M. Sanabria
4Kanu
27Everaldo
7Ademir72'for Cristian Olivera
12Willian José87'for Alejo Veliz
10Éverton Ribeiro73'for Rodrigo Nestor
15M. Araújo
Mirassol Substitutes
80Wallisson
99Zé Roberto
7Shaylon45'for Gustavo Henric da Silva
12Victor Luís
96Carlos Eduardo73'for Denilson Alves Borges78'
20Daniel Borges
44Gabriel
90Thomazella
17Fernandinho
95Edson45'for Alesson dos Santos Batista
9André Luís67'for Bruno Santos de Oliveira
33Eduardo45'for Chico Kim
Match Stats
BahiaMirassol 53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls16
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
510Total Passes457
456Passes Accurate402
13Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
BahiaMirassol1706Elo Rating 1676
0.68Attack 1.35
1.52Defense 2.29
37%Hit Rate 44%
12.1Shots per Game 16.1
3.2Shots on Target 4.7
4.5Corners per Game 4.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bahia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Bahia1Wins · 34%Draws133%
Mirassol1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%3.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
11/04/2026MirassolBahia12
31/08/2025MirassolBahia51
13/04/2025BahiaMirassol11
Recent Form
Bahia4W4D2L
Mirassol2W5D3L
08/10/2026
RB BragantinoMirassolMirassol
BotafogoMirassol
Vitoria
CoritibaMirassol
FlamengoMirassolMirassol
Palmeiras
SantosMirassol
LDU de QuitoMirassolMirassolLDU de Quito
RB BragantinoMirassol11
D19/09/2026MirassolBotafogo20
W13/09/2026MirassolVitoria22
D06/09/2026CoritibaMirassol12
W03/09/2026FlamengoMirassol20
L30/08/2026MirassolPalmeiras11
D23/08/2026SantosMirassol11
D21/08/2026LDU de QuitoMirassol5040
L16/08/2026MirassolFlamengo
14/08/2026MirassolFlamengo15
LMirassolLDU de Quito11
DReferee Profile
4.78Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.78 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | +32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | +12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | +4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | +10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | +5 | 49 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | +2 | 45 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | +1 | 42 | WWLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | +3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 35 | LDWWW |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 | LDWLW |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 31 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 31 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos | 31 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 31 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 31 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 31 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 31 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 31 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 30:62 | 18 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
About the Bahia vs Mirassol forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bahia and Mirassol in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Bahia are 7th and Mirassol 14th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Bahia 44-39, Mirassol 36-44. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.