Coritiba vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie ABrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 26
Coritiba
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Mirassol
A. Policarpo Bento 06/09/2026
CoritibaCoritiba
1-2
Finished
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Coritiba Rest
5 days
Mirassol Rest
3 days

Coritiba vs Mirassol: result, form and history

Mirassol beat Coritiba 2-1 in the Serie A on 6 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Coritiba had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Mirassol.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.52
X
28%3.23
2
26%2.79
Double Chance
1X
74%1.42
X2
54%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.84
No
37%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.05 = 2.37
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.19
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
28%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
64%1.40
Over 9.5
51%1.72
Over 10.5
36%2.15
Under 8.5
36%2.58
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.36
Over 4.5
36%1.83
Under 3.5
44%2.93
Under 4.5
64%1.83

Match Events

27'Denilson Alves BorgesFoul
27'Daniel BorgesDissent
34'João Victor Carroll SantanaArgument
34'Thiago SantosArgument
58'Thiago Santos INVitor Gonçalves Tissi out
59'Breno Lopes INPaulo Roberto out
59'Jacy INMaicon out
61'Pedro RochaAssist: Fabinho
63'JP ChermontFoul
64'Gustavo Henric da SilvaAssist: Igor Formiga
73'JP Chermont INFelipe Jonatan out
76'Gustavo Henric da Silva INFernandinho out
77'Alesson dos Santos Batista INShaylon Kallyson Cardozo out
79'Fabinho INJosué out
82'Denilson Alves Borges INChico Kim out
82'Wallisson INGustavo Cazonatti out
84'Bruno Santos de OliveiraAssist: Igor Formiga
87'Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve INGabriel Knesowitsch out
90+2'Shaylon Kallyson CardozoTime wasting
90+8'Penalty cancelledRodrigo Moledo

Lineups

Coritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Seabra
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating7.00
Pedro Luccas6.81P. Luccas
João Pedro Chermont6.244J. Pedro Chermont
Rodrigo Moledo6.34R. Moledo
Jacy6.855Jacy
Bruno Melo7.126B. Melo
Thiago Santos5.721T. Santos
S. Gómez6.219S. Gómez
J. Lavega6.47J. Lavega
Fabinho6.928Fabinho
Breno Lopes6.977B. Lopes
Pedro Rocha8.032P. Rocha
Alex Muralha7.723A. Muralha
Igor Formiga9.132I. Formiga
João Victor6.834J. Victor
Willian Machado6.93W. Machado
Reinaldo6.56Reinaldo
Wallisson6.680Wallisson
Denilson7.227Denilson
Gustavo Silva8.219G. Silva
Eduardo6.233Eduardo
Alesson6.677Alesson
Bruno Santos8.030B. Santos

Coritiba Substitutes

50Tissi58'for Thiago Santos6.6
99Rodrigo Rodrigues
22Pedro Rangel
18Paulo Roberto59'for Breno Lopes6.1
3Maicon59'for Jacy6.6
37L. Crepaldi
10Josué79'for Fabinho6.1
39Gustavo
6Felipe Jonatan73'for JP Chermont6.7
30Khensane Mpusane Eustaquio Machel
36Vini Paulista
14Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva

Mirassol Substitutes

96Carlos Eduardo
12Victor Luís
10Chico82'for Denilson Alves Borges6.3
20Daniel Borges27'
17Fernandinho76'for Gustavo Henric da Silva6.9
44Gabriel87'for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve6.5
5Japa
2Lucas Oliveira
7Shaylon77'for Alesson dos Santos Batista90+2'6.1
90Thomazella
9André Luís
55Gustavo Cazonatti82'for Wallisson6.3

Match Stats

CoritibaMirassol
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
414Total Passes460
340Passes Accurate393
82%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

CoritibaCoritiba
MirassolMirassol
1599Elo Rating 1661
0.60Attack 1.07
2.23Defense 1.94
23%Hit Rate 44%
12.5Shots per Game 13.2
3.6Shots on Target 3.3
5.1Corners per Game 4.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CoritibaCoritiba
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CoritibaCoritiba1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
MirassolMirassol2Wins · 67%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A19/03/2026
MirassolCoritiba
01
Serie B06/11/2024
MirassolCoritiba
41
Serie B20/07/2024
CoritibaMirassol
01

Recent Form

CoritibaCoritiba
5W2D3L
01/09/2026
RemoCoritiba
23
W24/08/2026
CoritibaCorinthians
21
W
16/08/2026
Sao PauloCoritiba
11
D
09/08/2026
CoritibaChapecoense-sc
21
W31/07/2026
CoritibaCruzeiro
01
L26/07/2026
RB BragantinoCoritiba
00
D23/07/2026
CoritibaPalmeiras
13
L
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
L
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
W
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
W
MirassolMirassol
1W4D5L
03/09/2026
FlamengoMirassol
20
L30/08/2026
MirassolPalmeiras
11
D23/08/2026
SantosMirassol
11
D21/08/2026
LDU de QuitoMirassol
5040
L
16/08/2026
MirassolFlamengo
15
L
14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
D09/08/2026
CruzeiroMirassol
31
L
06/08/2026
GremioMirassol
10
L
02/08/2026
MirassolGremio
11
D30/07/2026
MirassolRemo
21
W

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
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About the Coritiba vs Mirassol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Coritiba and Mirassol in the Serie A table

Coritiba and Mirassol are close in the Serie A table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Coritiba 40-51, Mirassol 39-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.