Monza vs Napoli Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 9
Monza vs Napoli: what the numbers say
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Monza on 2 wins from their last five and Napoli on 2. They meet in the Serie A on 28 Oct 2026.
Napoli have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 5.97 cards a game, 1.26 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Monza
NapoliAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Monza- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Napoli- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Monza1Wins · 17%4Wins · 66%Previous meetings
19/04/2025MonzaNapoli29/09/2024NapoliMonza07/04/2024MonzaNapoli29/12/2023NapoliMonza14/05/2023MonzaNapoli21/08/2022NapoliMonzaRecent Form
Monza
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.97 cards a match, 1.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).
Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 5 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 | LLDWW |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | DLWDW |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 | LLLWL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter | 8 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 8 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 8 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Torino | 8 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 8 | 6:9 | 13 |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Lecce | 8 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 8 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | 6:17 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
More Serie A matches
About the Monza vs Napoli forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monza and Napoli in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Napoli are 10th and Monza 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Monza 15-18, Napoli 13-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.