Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseHighGap-5.2%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Santa Fe Rest
4 days
Bucaramanga Rest
3 days
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga: the result in context
Santa Fe beat Bucaramanga 2-1 in the Primera A on 27 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Santa Fe had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Bucaramanga.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.95
X28%3.28
223%3.75
Double Chance
1X77%1.24
X251%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.86
No50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 0.92 = 2.47
Over 1.571%1.33
Over 2.546%2.10
Over 3.526%3.75
Under 1.529%3.10
Under 2.554%1.69
Under 3.574%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.75
Over 9.552%2.15
Over 10.541%2.88
Under 8.536%1.96
Under 9.548%1.58
Under 10.559%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.577%-
Over 4.560%-
Under 3.523%-
Under 4.540%-
Match Events
31'F. Fagundez
47'C. Romana
55'H. Rodallega
63'F. Sambueza
67'F. Sambueza INK. Londono out
67'F. Charrupi INL. Flores out
69'J. Obrian INO. Fernandez out
69'E. Rodriguez INL. Palacios out
73'I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
80'L. PonsAssist: E. Batalla
83'E. Olivera
85'J. Torres INA. Zapata out
85'D. Torres INK. D. Toscano Bassa out
85'E. Batalla INN. Castrillon out
88'M. Puerta INM. Lovera out
89'L. Pons INM. Rea out
89'A. Gutierrez INA. Zarate out
90+3'H. PalaciosAssist: F. Fagundez
Lineups
Santa FeBucaramanga
3-4-3Avg ratingAvg rating
12W. Asprilla
13H. Palacios
18E. Olivera
15I. Scarpeta
4M. Puerta
77J. Obrian
16D. Torres
7J. Torres
25E. Rodríguez
C11H. Rodallega
9F. Fagúndez
25C. Fiermarín
24J. Ortiz
23C. Romaña
4J. García
19A. Gutiérrez
21F. Charrupí
22F. Castro
8F. Hinestroza
C10F. Sambueza
27L. Pons
17E. BatallaSanta Fe Substitutes
31Juan Espitia
43Jean Caicedo
10Alexis Zapata85'for J. Torres
8Omar Fernández69'for J. Obrian
21Ewil Murillo Renteria
14Luis Angel Palacios69'for E. Rodriguez
6Kilian Toscano85'for D. Torres
39Cristhian Portocarrero
17Maximiliano Lovera88'for M. Puerta
Bucaramanga Substitutes
16Luis Matheus
80Omar Albornoz
6Nilson Castrillón85'for E. Batalla
3Martín Rea89'for L. Pons
28Leonardo Flores67'for F. Charrupi
7Kevin Londoño67'for F. Sambueza
20Aldair Zárate89'for A. Gutierrez
9Brandon Caicedo
5Adrián Murillo
Match Stats
Santa FeBucaramanga 46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
8Fouls9
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
380Total Passes446
309Passes Accurate371
81%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
Santa FeBucaramanga1666Elo Rating 1600
1.38Attack 1.34
1.97Defense 2.00
58%Hit Rate 31%
14.3Shots per Game 9.3
5.4Shots on Target 3.1
3.9Corners per Game 2.3
2.9Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bucaramanga- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe3Wins · 30%Draws330%
Bucaramanga4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
28/03/2026BucaramangaSanta Fe12
09/12/2025Santa FeBucaramanga00
20/11/2025BucaramangaSanta Fe10
10/08/2025BucaramangaSanta Fe21
20/03/2025Santa FeBucaramanga11
29/08/2024BucaramangaSanta Fe31
08/08/2024BucaramangaSanta Fe01
16/06/2024Santa FeBucaramanga5362
09/06/2024BucaramangaSanta Fe10
16/05/2024Santa FeBucaramanga11
Recent Form
Santa Fe6W1D3L
22/10/2026Santa Fe
Jaguares
Independiente MedellinSanta FeSanta Fe
Deportivo Cali
Vasco DA GamaSanta FeSanta Fe
Deportes Tolima
Santa FeJaguares21
W19/10/2026
LlanerosSanta Fe
LlanerosSanta Fe10
L11/10/2026Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
06/10/2026Santa FeFortaleza FC9282
WIndependiente MedellinSanta Fe01
W29/09/2026
Deportivo PereiraSanta Fe
Deportivo PereiraSanta Fe12
W26/09/2026
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
23/09/2026Union MagdalenaSanta Fe11
DSanta FeDeportivo Cali01
L19/09/2026
Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe
16/09/2026Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe14
WVasco DA GamaSanta Fe20
L12/09/2026Santa FeDeportes Tolima10
WBucaramanga4W5D1L
24/10/2026
ChicoBucaramanga
ChicoBucaramanga10
L18/10/2026Bucaramanga
America de Cali
14/10/2026BucaramangaAmerica de Cali11
DBucaramanga
Águilas Doradas11
D05/10/2026Bucaramanga
Junior31
W26/09/2026
Once CaldasBucaramanga13
W20/09/2026Bucaramanga
Internacional de Bogota20
W18/09/2026BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin22
D13/09/2026Deportivo PereiraBucaramanga13
W31/08/2026Deportivo CaliBucaramanga11
D22/08/2026Deportes TolimaBucaramanga00
DReferee Profile
6.44Cards per match
5.92Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.44 cards a match, 0.39 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.05).
Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira 25/10/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota 25/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin 26/10/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto 26/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar 29/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe 30/10/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares 30/10/26
- Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto 31/10/26
About the Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Bucaramanga in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Bucaramanga 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Bucaramanga 26-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.