America de Cali vs Cucuta Prediction

America de Cali
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Cucuta
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali·Carlos Alberto Diaz Vargas, Colombia 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
America de Cali Rest
2 days
Cucuta Rest
3 days

America de Cali vs Cucuta: the result in context

America de Cali beat Cucuta 3-1 in the Primera A on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

America de Cali tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 2.7 for Cucuta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.30
X
19%5.00
2
9%9.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.06
X2
28%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.71 = 2.68
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.6 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.59
Over 9.5
53%1.88
Over 10.5
41%2.41
Under 8.5
35%2.22
Under 9.5
47%1.81
Under 10.5
59%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

5'Y. GuzmanAssist: L. Quinones
11'L. Quinones
16'R. CarrascalFoul
42'D. Perez
46'T. Angel INJ. Lucumi out
59'J. Murillo INY. Quintero out
59'J. Cavadia INO. Bertel out
66'L. BerdugoUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'J. LucumiFoul
76'D. Perez INC. Cordoba out
76'G. Torres INE. M. Duarte Barajas out
81'B. Montano INM. B. Carabali Lopez out
88'V. Mejia INJ. Agudelo out
88'Neneco INL. Rios out
90+1'J. Palacios INC. Tovar out
90+4'J. LucumiAssist: L. Quinones

Lineups

America de Cali
4-2-3-1
Cucuta
4-1-4-1
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.55
Jean Fernandes7.31J. Fernandes
Tilman Palacios6.588T. Palacios
Dany Rosero7.03D. Rosero
Marlon Torres6.72M. Torres
Nicolás Hernández6.922N. Hernández
José Cavadia6.96J. Cavadia
Rafael CarrascalC7.515R. Carrascal
Luis Quiñones9.023L. Quiñones
Yeison Guzmán9.310Y. Guzmán
Jhon Murillo6.77J. Murillo
Tomás Ángel6.221T. Ángel
Federico AbadíaC5.012F. Abadía
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez5.926Y. Joao Abonia Vasquez
Hernán Lópes6.22H. Lópes
Jhon Quiñónes6.64J. Quiñónes
Brayan Montaño6.930B. Montaño
Victor Mejia7.05V. Mejia
Dayan Pérez7.520D. Pérez
Leider Berdugo6.610L. Berdugo
Carlos Rentería7.377C. Rentería
Gustavo Torres6.511G. Torres
Jaime Peralta6.99J. Peralta

America de Cali Substitutes

17Jan Lucumí46'for T. Angel69'90+4'7.3
30Omar Bertel59'for J. Cavadia6.6
18Yani Quintero59'for J. Murillo6.6
24Cristian Tovar90+1'for J. Palacios
12Juan Montoya
44Brayan Córdoba
14Marcos Mina
36Jhordy Camacho
29Camilo Amu
77Edson Tortolero
33Johan Fernando Molina Balanta

Cucuta Substitutes

1Juan David Ramírez
3Diego Calcaterra
27Mauricio Duarte76'for G. Torres6.5
21Marlon Carabali81'for B. Montano6.7
8Juan Ceballos
29Lucas Ríos88'for Neneco6.3
33Sebastián Tamara
16Kevin Londoño
32Jhonatan Agudelo88'for V. Mejia6.3
18Cristian Córdoba76'for D. Perez6.6

Match Stats

America de CaliCucuta
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots3
12Fouls8
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
469Total Passes337
420Passes Accurate280
90%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

America de CaliAmerica de Cali
CucutaCucuta
1683Elo Rating 1518
1.97Attack 1.61
2.22Defense 2.41
58%Hit Rate 86%
14.2Shots per Game 8.3
4.4Shots on Target 3.1
6.1Corners per Game 2.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

America de CaliAmerica de Cali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
CucutaCucuta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

America de CaliAmerica de Cali0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
CucutaCucuta1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera A05/04/2026
CucutaAmerica de Cali
20

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WLWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLWLD
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1637621:24-316WLWWL
16ChicoChico1644813:26-1316WLWLD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1621:2416
16ChicoChico1613:2616
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the America de Cali vs Cucuta forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

America de Cali and Cucuta in the Primera A table

The table shows a wide gap: America de Cali are 4th in the Primera A, while Cucuta sit 19th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: America de Cali 25-15, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cucuta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. America de Cali and Cucuta have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.