Fluminense vs Santos Prediction

Fluminense
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Santos
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·Ramon Abatti 18/10/2026
FluminenseFluminense
1-2
Finished
SantosSantos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.24
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Fluminense Rest
3 days
Santos Rest
7 days

Fluminense vs Santos: result, form and history

Santos beat Fluminense 2-1 in the Serie A on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 9 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.10
X
26%3.50
2
28%3.30
Double Chance
1X
72%1.32
X2
54%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.64
No
43%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.09 = 2.77
Over 1.5
77%1.24
Over 2.5
54%1.77
Over 3.5
32%2.94
Under 1.5
23%3.81
Under 2.5
46%2.02
Under 3.5
68%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.39
Over 9.5
54%1.68
Over 10.5
43%2.15
Under 8.5
34%2.59
Under 9.5
46%2.07
Under 10.5
57%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.37
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.91

Match Events

4'Rodrigo CastilloAssist: Igor Rabello
25'Álvaro BarrealFoul
31'Agustín CanobbioFoul
49'Gabriel BarbosaAssist: Rodinei
54'Philippe CoutinhoAssist: Gabriel Bontempo
57'Rodrigo Castillo INHulk out
57'Yeferson Soteldo INJefferson David Savarino Quintero out
57'Luciano Acosta INPaulo Henrique Chagas de Lima out
57'Agustín Canobbio INWesley Natã de Freitas Prado out
72'Philippe Coutinho INRony out
72'Everton INChristian Oliva out
76'Gustavo Nonato Santana INKevin Serna out
83'Lucas Veríssimo INJoão Alencar Santos Paes da Costa out
87'Álvaro Barreal INRafael Gonzaga out
87'Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior INBenjamín Rollheiser out

Lineups

Fluminense
4-2-3-1Coach: Marcão
Santos
4-2-3-1Coach: Cuca
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.83
Fábio6.21Fábio
Samuel Xavier6.52S. Xavier
Ignacio6.44Ignacio
Igor Rabello7.221I. Rabello
Renê6.26Renê
Hércules7.135Hércules
Nonato6.716Nonato
A. Canobbio5.817A. Canobbio
L. Acosta5.932L. Acosta
Y. Soteldo6.630Y. Soteldo
R. Castillo7.519R. Castillo
Diógenes6.81Diógenes
Rodinei7.023Rodinei
Lucas Veríssimo6.84L. Veríssimo
Luan Peres6.714L. Peres
Á. Barreal6.522Á. Barreal
Gabriel Bontempo7.78G. Bontempo
Gustavo Henrique Pereira6.648G. Henrique Pereira
Philippe Coutinho8.011P. Coutinho
Neymar6.110Neymar
Everton6.77Everton
Gabriel Barbosa8.29G. Barbosa

Fluminense Substitutes

23Guga
22J. Freytes
7Hulk57'for Rodrigo Castillo6.4
27Marcelo
29J. Millán
94Otávio
10PH Ganso57'for Luciano Acosta6.1
11J. Savarino57'for Yeferson Soteldo6.3
90K. Serna76'for Gustavo Nonato Santana6.9
3Thiago Silva
34Wesley Nata57'for Agustín Canobbio6.3
41Ruan Sales Oliveira

Santos Substitutes

18Igor Vinicius
26João Paulo Ananias
34João Paulo
5João Schmidt
30M. Terceros
28C. Oliva72'for Everton6.4
38Rafael Gonzaga87'for Álvaro Barreal6.1
32B. Rollheiser87'for Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior6.5
33Rony72'for Philippe Coutinho6.9
16Thaciano
25Gabriel Menino
42João Alencar83'for Lucas Veríssimo6.3

Match Stats

FluminenseSantos
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots7
18Fouls18
3Goalkeeper Saves1
523Total Passes521
451Passes Accurate463
16Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

FluminenseFluminense
SantosSantos
1718Elo Rating 1774
1.58Attack 1.77
1.67Defense 1.58
31%Hit Rate 58%
11.9Shots per Game 12.9
4.3Shots on Target 4.0
3.5Corners per Game 3.7
2.3Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend22% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FluminenseFluminense
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SantosSantos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

FluminenseFluminense5Wins · 56%
Draws333%
SantosSantos1Wins · 11%
1.9Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A19/04/2026
SantosFluminense
23
Serie A31/08/2025
SantosFluminense
00
Serie A14/04/2025
FluminenseSantos
10
Serie A29/11/2023
SantosFluminense
03
Serie A29/07/2023
FluminenseSantos
10
Serie A02/08/2022
SantosFluminense
22
Serie A09/04/2022
FluminenseSantos
00
Serie A28/10/2021
SantosFluminense
20
Serie A18/06/2021
FluminenseSantos
10

Referee Profile

Ramon Abatti243 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramon Abatti4.78
Other referees5.12

4.78 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo31207461:25+3667WWDWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31199354:22+3266WWWDW
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense31158849:37+1253LWDWD
4CruzeiroCruzeiro311561050:46+451WLWWL
5FluminenseFluminense31149849:39+1051LLWWL
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG31148942:35+750WWDWD
7BahiaBahia311310844:39+549LWLLW
8SantosSantos311291048:46+245WLDWW
9Sao PauloSao Paulo311261336:35+142WWLLW
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino311181239:36+341DWDLL
11BotafogoBotafogo311091244:48-439WDLLW
12CoritibaCoritiba311091238:49-1139LDLLD
13VitoriaVitoria311071434:45-1137DLWLD
14MirassolMirassol31991336:44-836WLDWD
15Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama30981336:43-735LDWWW
16CorinthiansCorinthians31891432:39-733DLLLL
17InternacionalInternacional317111333:40-732LDWLW
18GremioGremio317101434:44-1031LDDDL
19RemoRemo315111534:49-1526DDDLL
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc30391830:62-3218LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3161:2567
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3154:2266
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3149:3753
4CruzeiroCruzeiro3150:4651
5FluminenseFluminense3149:3951
6Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3142:3550
7BahiaBahia3144:3949
8SantosSantos3148:4645
9Sao PauloSao Paulo3136:3542
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3139:3641
11BotafogoBotafogo3144:4839
12CoritibaCoritiba3138:4939
13VitoriaVitoria3134:4537
14MirassolMirassol3136:4436
15Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3036:4335
16CorinthiansCorinthians3132:3933
17InternacionalInternacional3133:4032
18GremioGremio3134:4431
19RemoRemo3134:4926
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3030:6218
PromotionRelegation

About the Fluminense vs Santos forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fluminense and Santos in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Fluminense are 5th and Santos 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Fluminense 49-39, Santos 48-46. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fluminense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.