Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction

Gremio
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre·Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva 20/09/2026
GremioGremio
0-0
Finished
PalmeirasPalmeiras

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Gremio Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days

Gremio vs Palmeiras: the result in context

Gremio and Palmeiras drew 0-0 in the Serie A on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.04
X
26%3.60
2
51%1.86
Double Chance
1X
49%1.90
X2
77%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.27 = 2.40
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
50%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.30
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
50%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 5.4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.28
Over 9.5
47%1.50
Over 10.5
37%1.91
Under 8.5
39%3.07
Under 9.5
53%2.26
Under 10.5
63%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.19
Over 4.5
50%1.38
Under 3.5
31%4.40
Under 4.5
50%2.88

Match Events

33'Agustin GiayFoul
40'Erick NoriegaFoul
45'Erick Noriega INDanilo Barbosa da Silva out
64'João PedroFoul
67'Carlos ViníciusFoul
68'Cristian Pavón INJosé Enamorado out
69'Francis Amuzu INJovane Cabral out
69'Gustavo MartinsDissent
72'Vitor Roque INRamon Sosa out
72'Jhon Arias INFelipe Anderson out
73'Alexander BarbozaFoul
74'Carlos Vinícius INMartin Braithwaite out
77'Joaquín PiquerezFoul
79'Lucas EvangelistaFoul
79'Andreas Pereira INMaurício Magalhães Prado out
79'Joaquín Piquerez INArthur Gabriel out
81'João Pedro INMarcos Rocha out
88'Ramon SosaFoul
88'Agustin Giay INKhellven Douglas Silva Oliveira out
89'Pedro GabrielFoul

Lineups

Gremio
3-4-3Coach: Renato Gaúcho
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1Coach: Abel Ferreira
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.84
Weverton8.81Weverton
Gustavo Martins5.86G. Martins
F. Balbuena6.72F. Balbuena
Wallace7.082Wallace
João Pedro6.218J. Pedro
M. Villasanti6.320M. Villasanti
E. Noriega6.48E. Noriega
Pedro Gabriel6.454P. Gabriel
C. Pavón6.97C. Pavón
Carlos Vinícius6.195C. Vinícius
F. Amuzu6.89F. Amuzu
Carlos Miguel7.81C. Miguel
A. Giay6.14A. Giay
G. Gómez7.415G. Gómez
A. Barboza6.92A. Barboza
J. Piquerez6.722J. Piquerez
Lucas Evangelista7.130L. Evangelista
Marlon Freitas7.217M. Freitas
J. Arias7.311J. Arias
Andreas Pereira6.98A. Pereira
J. López7.242J. López
Vitor Roque6.39V. Roque

Gremio Substitutes

77Jovane Cabral69'for Francis Amuzu6.6
22M. Braithwaite74'for Carlos Vinícius6.0
50Bernardo Zortea
15Danilo Barbosa45'for Erick Noriega6.5
99J. Enamorado68'for Cristian Pavón6.8
12Gabriel Grando
10F. Krovinović
43Luis Eduardo
14Marcos Rocha81'for João Pedro6.5
30Matheus Nascimento
11Tetê
3Wagner Leonardo

Palmeiras Substitutes

3Bruno Fuchs
7Felipe Anderson72'for Jhon Arias6.8
39Heittor
12Khellven88'for Agustin Giay6.5
48Larson
50Luis Felipe
14Marcelo Lomba
32E. Martínez
18Maurício79'for Andreas Pereira6.6
19R. Sosa72'for Vitor Roque88'6.2
56Arthur79'for Joaquín Piquerez6.5
43Benedetti

Match Stats

GremioPalmeiras
28%Ball Possession72%
2Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards5
7Total Shots31
4Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal13
5Shots Inside Box19
2Shots Outside Box12
2Blocked Shots8
19Fouls14
1Offsides1
11Goalkeeper Saves4
235Total Passes614
171Passes Accurate538
14Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

GremioGremio
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1668Elo Rating 1874
1.56Attack 2.18
1.63Defense 2.59
59%Hit Rate 66%
12.3Shots per Game 17.3
4.3Shots on Target 5.6
5.9Corners per Game 5.9
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GremioGremio3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
PalmeirasPalmeiras6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A03/04/2026
PalmeirasGremio
21
Serie A26/11/2025
GremioPalmeiras
32
Serie A27/07/2025
PalmeirasGremio
10
Serie A09/11/2024
PalmeirasGremio
10
Serie A05/07/2024
GremioPalmeiras
22
Serie A22/09/2023
GremioPalmeiras
10
Serie A11/05/2023
PalmeirasGremio
41
Serie A31/10/2021
GremioPalmeiras
13
Serie A08/07/2021
PalmeirasGremio
20
CONMEBOL Libertadores28/08/2019
PalmeirasGremio
12

Referee Profile

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva212 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.26Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva5.65
Other referees5.13

5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Gremio vs Palmeiras forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gremio and Palmeiras in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Palmeiras are 2nd in the Serie A, while Gremio sit 18th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: Gremio 38-47, Palmeiras 62-23. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.