Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Paris Saint Germain Rest
3 days
Barcelona Rest
3 days
Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: the result in context
Paris Saint Germain beat Barcelona 4-2 in the UEFA Champions League on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Paris Saint Germain have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.47
X23%4.40
235%2.42
Double Chance
1X65%1.57
X258%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes74%1.20
No26%4.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.53 = 3.10
Over 1.589%1.02
Over 2.575%1.18
Over 3.557%1.50
Under 1.511%10.50
Under 2.525%4.47
Under 3.543%2.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.2 = 9.3
Over 8.556%1.50
Over 9.545%1.85
Over 10.535%2.40
Under 8.544%2.40
Under 9.555%1.87
Under 10.565%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.76
Over 4.540%2.20
Under 3.540%1.99
Under 4.560%1.62
Match Events
17'João CanceloFoul
20'Ousmane Dembélé INFerrán Torres out
27'Daniel Olmo Carvajal INFermín López out
38'Désiré DoueAssist: João Neves
55'Xavi EspartAssist: Fermín López
59'Marcos Aoás Corrêa INIlya Zabarnyi out
59'Khvicha Kvaratskhelia INMaghnes Akliouche out
60'Raphael Dias Belloli INKarim Adeyemi out
60'Pedri INPablo Martín Páez Gavira out
60'Marc Bernal INRodrigo Hernandez Cascante out
72'Lucas HernándezAssist: Désiré Doue
74'Xavi Espart INAlejandro Balde out
78'Lucas Hernández INWarren Zaire-Emery out
78'Désiré Doue INSenny Mayulu out
79'Lamine Yamal
81'Vitinha
86'Fabián RuizAssist: Achraf Hakimi
Lineups
Paris Saint GermainBarcelona
4-2-3-1Coach: H. FlickAvg ratingAvg rating
39M. Safonov
2A. Hakimi
5Marquinhos
51W. Pacho
21L. Hernández
87J. Neves
17Vitinha
8F. Ruiz
14D. Doué
10O. Dembélé
7K. Kvaratskhelia
1J. García
12X. Espart
5P. Cubarsí Paredes
18G. Martín
2J. Cancelo
22M. Bernal
8Pedri
10L. Yamal
20D. Olmo
17A. Gordon
11RaphinhaParis Saint Germain Substitutes
11M. Akliouche59'for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
30L. Chevalier
12L. Digne
4Beraldo
27Pedro Fernández
22M. Godts
24Senny Mayulu78'for Désiré Doue
80Adam Mouak
47Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
9Ferran Torres20'for Ousmane Dembélé
6I. Zabarnyi59'for Marcos Aoás Corrêa
33W. Zaïre-Emery78'for Lucas Hernández
Barcelona Substitutes
3Alejandro Balde74'for Xavi Espart
41A. Campos
21F. de Jong
4B. Farinas
7Fermín27'for Daniel Olmo Carvajal
9Gabriel Jesus
6Gavi60'for Pedri
25D. Livaković
16Rodri60'for Marc Bernal
13W. Szczęsny
29H. Abdelkarim
14K. Adeyemi60'for Raphael Dias Belloli
Match Stats
Paris Saint GermainBarcelona 47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots18
14Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal8
13Shots Inside Box12
9Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots5
11Fouls10
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves10
477Total Passes539
406Passes Accurate472
10Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Paris Saint GermainBarcelona2046Elo Rating 2068
3.32Attack 3.38
1.54Defense 1.13
100%Hit Rate 73%
21.0Shots per Game 20.5
10.3Shots on Target 8.1
4.0Corners per Game 5.0
0.3Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Paris Saint Germain- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Barcelona- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Paris Saint Germain3Wins · 60%Draws120%
Barcelona1Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5
Previous meetings
01/10/2025BarcelonaParis Saint Germain12
16/04/2024BarcelonaParis Saint Germain14
10/04/2024Paris Saint GermainBarcelona23
10/03/2021Paris Saint GermainBarcelona11
16/02/2021BarcelonaParis Saint Germain14
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain6W2D2L
17/10/2026
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Manchester CityParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Le Mans
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Monaco
LilleParis Saint Germain
RennesParis Saint Germain
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain13
W14/10/2026Manchester CityParis Saint Germain24
W10/10/2026Paris Saint GermainLe Mans31
W20/09/2026MarseilleParis Saint Germain12
W13/09/2026Stade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain01
W09/09/2026Paris Saint Germain
Slovan Bratislava
04/09/2026Paris Saint GermainSlovan Bratislava61
WParis Saint GermainMonaco12
L28/08/2026LilleParis Saint Germain22
D23/08/2026RennesParis Saint Germain22
D16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
LensParis Saint Germain10
LBarcelona10W0D0L
17/10/2026
Real BetisBarcelona
GalatasarayBarcelonaBarcelona
GetafeBarcelona
Racing Santander
LevanteBarcelonaBarcelona
Feyenoord
ValenciaBarcelonaBarcelona
Rayo VallecanoBarcelona
Athletic Club
Real BetisBarcelona25
W13/10/2026GalatasarayBarcelona14
W10/10/2026BarcelonaGetafe30
W19/09/2026
SevillaBarcelona
16/09/2026SevillaBarcelona13
WBarcelonaRacing Santander72
W13/09/2026LevanteBarcelona24
W09/09/2026BarcelonaFeyenoord51
W06/09/2026ValenciaBarcelona05
W31/08/2026BarcelonaRayo Vallecano52
W27/08/2026BarcelonaAthletic Club20
WReferee Profile
3.92Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).
Cards come from 305 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
VikingAEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Praha
LyonSlovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonSlovan BratislavaMjallby AIFAarhusLech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeFC ThunDinamo ZagrebSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianFK Crvena ZvezdaHapoel Beer ShevaOmonia NicosiaCeljeExplore more predictions
This match
About the Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Paris Saint Germain and Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st and Barcelona 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Paris Saint Germain 14-5, Barcelona 11-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.