Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans: the result in context
Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3-1 in the Ligue 1 on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Paris Saint Germain had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Le Mans.
Referee Mathieu Vernice averages 4.48 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
39M. Safonov
2A. Hakimi
6I. Zabarnyi
21L. Hernández
12L. Digne
87J. Neves
4Beraldo
27P. Fernández
11M. Akliouche
9F. Torres
22M. Godts
98N. Kocik
15N. Boissé
17S. Yohou
5H. Voyer
8A. Lauray
26R. Bamba
29L. Bretelle
10J. Vercruysse
22L. Calodat
13H. Diallo
14L. MafoutaParis Saint Germain Substitutes
Le Mans Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.48 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.87).
Cards come from 125 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 | WLWDW | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 | WWWWL | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 14 | WLWDW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 14 | DWLWW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 14 | LDWDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | LWLWW | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 11 | WWLDW | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | WLWWL | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WWLDL | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 | WWLLL | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 9 | WDWDL | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 | WLWWL | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 | LLLDW | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 | LLWDL | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 | LLWDD | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 13:5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | 14:9 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | 12:7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 10:5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 10:6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 15:14 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 7:6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 8:10 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 14:11 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 14:10 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 14:12 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 12:11 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 11:17 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 12:15 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 9:15 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 10:15 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 5:16 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 5:11 | 2 |
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This match
About the Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans in the Ligue 1 table
The table shows a wide gap: Paris Saint Germain are 2nd in the Ligue 1, while Le Mans sit 16th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Paris Saint Germain 14-9, Le Mans 10-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


