San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

Avaya Stadium, San Jose·Ramy Touchan 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
4 days
Colorado Rapids Rest
4 days

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: the result in context

San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Ramy Touchan averages 5.24 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.32
X
27%3.60
2
34%2.82
Double Chance
1X
66%1.39
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.27 = 2.81
Over 1.5
79%1.19
Over 2.5
57%1.66
Over 3.5
34%2.63
Under 1.5
21%4.38
Under 2.5
43%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
52%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
36%3.00
Under 9.5
48%2.27
Under 10.5
59%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.37
Over 4.5
45%1.75
Under 3.5
36%2.93
Under 4.5
55%2.00

Match Events

15'Reid RobertsAssist: Timo Werner
22'Joshua AtencioFoul
26'Morgan WhittakerAssist: Wayne Frederick
45'Joshua Atencio INHamzat Ojediran out
50'Donavan PhillipFoul
54'Donavan Phillip INSayed Abu Farkhi out
62'Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba GironésFoul
63'Morgan Whittaker INDarren Yapi out
65'Georgi MinoungouFoul
71'Timo WernerAbusive Language
73'Darren YapiAssist: Georgi Minoungou
75'Kosi Thompson
79'Georgi Minoungou INNoah Cobb out
79'Vitor Costa INJamar Ricketts out
79'Eduard Löwen INIan Harkes out
79'Ronaldo Vieira INN.Tsakiris out
82'Preston JuddDissent
83'Jack JasinskiAssist: N.Tsakiris
88'Beau Leroux INNick Fernandez out
90+1'Sayed Abu FarkhiFoul
90+5'Ousseni BoudaFoul
90+8'Preston Judd INLuka Jovanovic out

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. Arena
Colorado Rapids
4-2-3-1Coach: Matt Wells
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.61
A. Gunn6.21A. Gunn
D. Munie6.85D. Munie
R. Roberts7.418R. Roberts
Vítor Costa6.587V. Costa
Jack Jasinski7.017J. Jasinski
R. Vieira6.014R. Vieira
E. Löwen6.723E. Löwen
Beau Leroux6.434B. Leroux
O. Bouda6.57O. Bouda
T. Werner6.111T. Werner
P. Judd6.319P. Judd
N. Defreitas7.841N. Defreitas
K. Thompson5.733K. Thompson
R. Holding6.16R. Holding
Loïc Williams6.15L. Williams
M. Navarro6.429M. Navarro
W. Frederick II7.113W. Frederick II
J. Atencio6.312J. Atencio
G. Minoungou6.593G. Minoungou
M. Whittaker8.17M. Whittaker
P. Aaronson6.210P. Aaronson
D. Phillip6.332D. Phillip

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

36E. Edwards
20N. Fernandez88'for Beau Leroux6.1
25M. Floriani
6I. Harkes79'for Eduard Löwen6.0
9L. Jovanović90+8'for Preston Judd
3P. Marie
2J. Ricketts79'for Vitor Costa6.2
4D. Romney
10N. Tsakiris79'for Ronaldo Vieira6.8

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

99J. Travis
77D. Yapi63'for Morgan Whittaker73'7.7
2K. Rosenberry
8H. Ojediran45'for Joshua Atencio6.4
21T. Ku-DiPietro
16A. Harris
24N. Cobb79'for Georgi Minoungou6.1
31A. Beaudry
9S. Abu54'for Donavan Phillip90+1'6.5

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
45%Ball Possession55%
11Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
16Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
20Fouls20
1Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves6
337Total Passes426
270Passes Accurate352
19Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1616Elo Rating 1556
1.47Attack 1.41
1.86Defense 1.43
17%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 12.4
4.2Shots on Target 4.8
5.7Corners per Game 5.4
1.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer11/10/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
11
US Open Cup21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
20
Major League Soccer11/05/2025
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
02
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
12
Major League Soccer12/05/2024
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
23
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
03
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
00
Major League Soccer12/03/2023
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
10
Major League Soccer15/09/2022
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer08/05/2022
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
10

Referee Profile

Ramy Touchan87 matches

5.24Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramy Touchan5.24
Other referees4.33

5.24 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th and Colorado Rapids 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: San Jose Earthquakes 52-45, Colorado Rapids 42-41. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colorado Rapids have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.