Austin vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Austin
-
29/10/2026
01:30
Real Salt Lake
Q2 Stadium, Austin·Ricardo Montero Araya
AustinAustin
29/10/202601:30
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick Free pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
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Austin Rest
4 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Austin vs Real Salt Lake: what the numbers say

Real Salt Lake arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for Austin. They meet in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.95
X
3.70
2
2.20
Double Chance
1X
1.63
X2
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.50
No
2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.47 = 3.06
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.58
Over 3.5
40%2.42
Under 1.5
18%4.90
Under 2.5
39%2.35
Under 3.5
60%1.53
Corners
Over 8.5
1.33
Over 9.5
1.59
Over 10.5
2.00
Under 8.5
3.00
Under 9.5
2.25
Under 10.5
1.75
Cards
Over 3.5
1.52
Over 4.5
2.10
Under 3.5
2.44
Under 4.5
1.68
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1542Elo Rating 1556
1.19Attack 1.73
0.50Defense 1.83
0%Hit Rate 44%
11.1Shots per Game 13.9
4.7Shots on Target 6.0
4.5Corners per Game 4.1
0.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AustinAustin2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake5Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
Real Salt LakeAustin
21
Major League Soccer28/09/2025
Real Salt LakeAustin
31
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
AustinReal Salt Lake
11
Major League Soccer29/09/2024
AustinReal Salt Lake
22
Major League Soccer02/06/2024
Real Salt LakeAustin
51
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
AustinReal Salt Lake
12
Major League Soccer12/03/2023
Real Salt LakeAustin
12
Major League Soccer16/10/2022
AustinReal Salt Lake
3212
Major League Soccer15/09/2022
AustinReal Salt Lake
30
Major League Soccer15/05/2022
Real Salt LakeAustin
21

Referee Profile

Ricardo Montero Araya130 matches

4.39Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo Montero Araya4.39
Other referees4.22

4.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas31159758:47+1154WDWLW
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City31149856:44+1251LLDWW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake311161448:48039WWDLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers311071454:58-437WDLDL
12San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC318111247:55-835DWDDL
14AustinAustin318101340:57-1734WLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City31642137:77-4022LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3158:4754
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3156:4451
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3148:4839
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3154:5837
12San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3147:5535
14AustinAustin3140:5734
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3137:7722
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About the Austin vs Real Salt Lake forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austin and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Real Salt Lake are 10th and Austin 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Austin 40-57, Real Salt Lake 48-48. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.