Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego Prediction

BC Place, Vancouver·Joseph Dickerson 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.29
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps Rest
4 days
San Diego Rest
4 days

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: the result in context

Vancouver Whitecaps beat San Diego 4-1 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 5.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Joseph Dickerson averages 5.20 cards a game, 1.00 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.44
X
20%5.25
2
17%6.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
37%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.43
No
37%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.22 = 3.01
Over 1.5
87%1.07
Over 2.5
70%1.29
Over 3.5
50%1.80
Under 1.5
13%7.89
Under 2.5
30%3.40
Under 3.5
50%2.00
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.1 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.45
Over 9.5
58%1.80
Over 10.5
47%2.24
Under 8.5
31%2.53
Under 9.5
42%1.94
Under 10.5
53%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.57
Over 4.5
37%2.13
Under 3.5
43%2.34
Under 4.5
63%1.68

Match Events

2'Manu DuahFoul
24'Aleksa CvetkovicAssist: Mathías Laborda
41'Brian WhiteAssist: Oliver Love Larraz
55'Jeppe TverskovFoul
62'Aníbal Godoy INAlejandro Alvarado Jr out
62'Amahl Pellegrino INBryan Zamblé out
62'Cédric Bakambu INMarcus Ingvartsen out
66'Ryan GauldAssist: Rayan Elloumi
67'Oliver Love Larraz INRalph Priso out
67'Yadaly Diaby INBruno Caicedo out
74'Ryan Gauld INThomas Müller out
74'Tristan Blackmon INRanko Veselinovic out
74'Jeppe Tverskov INOnni Valakari out
74'Anders Dreyer INDavid Vazquez out
76'Bruno CaicedoAssist: Ralph Priso
82'Tate JohnsonTime wasting
83'Onni ValakariAssist: David Vazquez
83'Tate Johnson INM. Gherasimencov out
90+1'Rayan ElloumiFoul
90+4'Rayan Elloumi

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps
4-4-2Coach: J. Sørensen
San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.32
Y. Takaoka7.71Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo6.318É. Ocampo
M. Laborda7.82M. Laborda
T. Blackmon6.733T. Blackmon
T. Johnson6.528T. Johnson
R. Gauld8.225R. Gauld
A. Cvetković7.923A. Cvetković
O. Larraz7.08O. Larraz
Y. Diaby6.577Y. Diaby
R. Elloumi7.019R. Elloumi
B. White8.124B. White
P. Sisniega7.313P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven6.133O. Verhoeven
C. McVey6.297C. McVey
M. Duah5.626M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant6.05K. Sargeant
J. Tverskov6.26J. Tverskov
A. Godoy6.520A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani6.312G. Pirani
A. Dreyer5.910A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu6.494C. Bakambu
A. Pellegrino6.590A. Pellegrino

Vancouver Whitecaps Substitutes

29M. Gherasimencov83'for Tate Johnson7.1
22K. Poku
6R. Priso67'for Oliver Love Larraz6.7
13T. Müller74'for Ryan Gauld6.4
59J. Badwal
32I. Boehmer
14Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez67'for Yadaly Diaby76'7.4
41N. Djordjevic
4R. Veselinović74'for Tristan Blackmon6.3

San Diego Substitutes

1C. dos Santos
7M. Ingvartsen62'for Cédric Bakambu6.6
25I. Pilcher
3D. Þór­halls­son
8O. Valakari74'for Jeppe Tverskov83'6.6
19D. Vazquez74'for Anders Dreyer5.8
70A. Alvarado62'for Aníbal Godoy6.3
36David Mimbang
14B. B. Zamble62'for Amahl Pellegrino7.0

Match Stats

Vancouver WhitecapsSan Diego
44%Ball Possession56%
8Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots20
10Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots5
19Fouls8
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves6
441Total Passes571
383Passes Accurate507
8Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
San DiegoSan Diego
1669Elo Rating 1572
1.32Attack 2.20
1.62Defense 0.22
27%Hit Rate 0%
13.1Shots per Game 14.3
3.0Shots on Target 5.5
6.6Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
San DiegoSan Diego1Wins · 25%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
Major League Soccer30/11/2025
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
13
Major League Soccer20/07/2025
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
11
Major League Soccer26/06/2025
Vancouver WhitecapsSan Diego
35

Referee Profile

Joseph Dickerson10 matches

5.20Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joseph Dickerson5.20
Other referees4.20

5.20 cards a match, 1.00 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego sit 13th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Vancouver Whitecaps 63-32, San Diego 55-58. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.