Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Allianz Field, Sao Paulo·Serhiy Boiko

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
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Minnesota United FC Rest
4 days
Sporting Kansas City Rest
4 days

Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City preview: form and head-to-head

Neither Minnesota United FC nor Sporting Kansas City arrives in good form, with no more than one win each from their last five. The match is played in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.40
X
5.00
2
6.40
Double Chance
1X
1.11
X2
2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.47
No
2.50
Goals
Over 1.5
1.07
Over 2.5
1.33
Over 3.5
1.86
Under 1.5
7.47
Under 2.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.90
Corners
Over 8.5
1.33
Over 9.5
1.58
Over 10.5
1.95
Under 8.5
3.00
Under 9.5
2.21
Under 10.5
1.75
Cards
Over 3.5
1.83
Over 4.5
2.75
Under 3.5
1.83
Under 4.5
1.43
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1556Elo Rating 1438
2.10Attack 1.30
0.69Defense 0.36
27%Hit Rate 14%
17.2Shots per Game 11.6
5.6Shots on Target 4.4
4.8Corners per Game 5.4
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City5Wins · 50%
3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
Major League Soccer05/10/2025
Minnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
30
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
33
Major League Soccer22/09/2024
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
02
Major League Soccer02/06/2024
Minnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
31
Major League Soccer28/04/2024
Minnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
21
Major League Soccer22/10/2023
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
31
Major League Soccer17/09/2023
Minnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
01
Major League Soccer14/05/2023
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
30
Major League Soccer18/09/2022
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
41

Referee Profile

Serhiy Boiko3 matches analysed

4.63Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas31159758:47+1154WDWLW
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City31149856:44+1251LLDWW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake311161448:48039WWDLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers311071454:58-437WDLDL
12San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC318111247:55-835DWDDL
14AustinAustin318101340:57-1734WLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City31642137:77-4022LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3158:4754
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3156:4451
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3148:4839
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3154:5837
12San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3147:5535
14AustinAustin3140:5734
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3137:7722
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About the Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer table

Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City are close in the Major League Soccer table, 13th and 15th, with 13 points between them. League goal record so far: Minnesota United FC 47-55, Sporting Kansas City 37-77. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.