Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction
Brazil · Semi-finalsCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
Atletico-MG Rest
2 days
Gremio Rest
2 days
Atletico-MG vs Gremio: the result in context
Atletico-MG and Gremio drew 1-1 in the Copa Do Brasil on 7 Nov 2026. Gremio had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Atletico-MG.
Gremio have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%1.55
X22%4.13
215%5.75
Double Chance
1X85%1.13
X237%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.91
No53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.61 = 2.24
Over 1.574%1.25
Over 2.549%1.88
Over 3.527%3.20
Under 1.526%3.60
Under 2.551%1.92
Under 3.573%1.33
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
21'Bernard Anício Caldeira DuarteDissent
26'Renan LodiAssist: Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
35'José EnamoradoArgument
36'Kevin CastañoFoul
38'Carlos ViníciusAssist: Erick Noriega
45'José Enamorado INDodi out
45'Marlon INCaio Paulista out
57'Kevin Castaño INFrederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos out
57'Alan Minda INEduardo Pereira Rodrigues out
63'Carlos Vinícius INMartin Braithwaite out
68'Alan FrancoDissent
70'Francis Amuzu INTetê out
73'Gabriel GrandoDissent
74'Natanael Moreira Milouski INMateo Cassierra out
74'Igor Gomes INGustavo Scarpa out
76'João Pedro INMarcos Rocha out
87'Card upgrade confirmedVitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
87'Vitor Fernandes Chaves TeixeiraSerious foul
90+2'Alan Franco INAngelo Preciado out
Lineups
Atletico-MGGremio
3-4-3Coach: Renato GaúchoAvg ratingAvg rating
22Everson
2Natanael
40Vitão
14V. Hugo
6R. Lodi
15K. Castaño
21A. Franco
28T. Cuello
11Bernard
27A. Minda
17I. Gomes
1Weverton
82Wallace
2F. Balbuena
4W. Kannemann
18J. Pedro
8E. Noriega
20M. Villasanti
23Marlon
99J. Enamorado
95C. Vinícius
9F. AmuzuAtletico-MG Substitutes
9M. Cassierra74'for Natanael Moreira Milouski
3Léo Duarte
1Gabriel Delfim
39Mamady Cisse
10Gustavo Scarpa74'for Igor Gomes
36K. Pascini
92Dudu57'for Alan Minda
23A. Preciado90+2'for Alan Franco
25T. Pérez
7Fred57'for Kevin Castaño
4Ruan Tressoldi
8Maycon
Gremio Substitutes
77Jovane Cabral
3Wagner Leonardo
11Tetê70'for Francis Amuzu
22M. Braithwaite63'for Carlos Vinícius
54Pedro Gabriel
12Gabriel Grando73'
10F. Krovinović
17Dodi45'for José Enamorado
30Matheus Nascimento
14Marcos Rocha76'for João Pedro
50Bernardo Zortea
38Caio Paulista45'for Marlon
Match Stats
Atletico-MGGremio 76%Ball Possession24%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
29Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal1
14Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots3
11Fouls11
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
648Total Passes208
571Passes Accurate124
10Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Atletico-MGGremio1704Elo Rating 1668
0.33Attack 1.56
1.30Defense 1.63
0%Hit Rate 59%
12.8Shots per Game 12.3
3.1Shots on Target 4.3
5.8Corners per Game 5.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico-MG- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gremio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico-MG4Wins · 40%Draws00%
Gremio6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
01/11/2026GremioAtletico-MG20
16/08/2026Atletico-MGGremio30
26/02/2026GremioAtletico-MG21
17/08/2025Atletico-MGGremio13
29/03/2025GremioAtletico-MG21
10/10/2024Atletico-MGGremio21
01/09/2024GremioAtletico-MG23
26/11/2023Atletico-MGGremio30
23/07/2023GremioAtletico-MG10
10/12/2021GremioAtletico-MG43
Recent Form
Atletico-MG4W1D5L
05/11/2026
BotafogoAtletico-MGGremioAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Cruzeiro
FlamengoAtletico-MG
Atletico TorqueAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CoritibaAtletico-MGAtletico TorqueAtletico-MG
Santos
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
RB Bragantino
BotafogoAtletico-MG10
L01/11/2026GremioAtletico-MG20
L29/10/2026Atletico-MGCruzeiro01
L27/10/2026FlamengoAtletico-MG32
L22/10/2026Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG20
L17/10/2026Atletico-MGCoritiba10
W15/10/2026Atletico-MGAtletico Torque30
W11/10/2026Atletico-MGSantos21
W09/10/2026Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG22
D03/10/2026Atletico-MGRB Bragantino10
WGremio3W3D4L
04/11/2026FlamengoGremioGremioAtletico-MGGremioAtletico ParanaenseCoritibaGremioGremioCruzeiro
RemoGremioGremio
PalmeirasGremio
Vasco DA Gama
FlamengoGremio31
L01/11/2026GremioAtletico-MG20
W30/10/2026GremioAtletico Paranaense20
W26/10/2026CoritibaGremio01
W18/10/2026GremioCruzeiro24
L11/10/2026Gremio
Internacional
08/10/2026GremioInternacional11
DRemoGremio11
D20/09/2026GremioPalmeiras00
D17/09/2026BotafogoGremio
12/09/2026BotafogoGremio32
LGremioVasco DA Gama12
LReferee Profile
4.76Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao PauloGremio
CorinthiansVasco DA Gama
BahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengo
VitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Atletico-MG vs Gremio forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.