Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Gremio
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Vasco DA Gama
12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.69
SignalHIGHModel64%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Gremio Rest
4 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.75
X
29%3.20
2
35%2.60
Double Chance
1X
66%1.46
X2
64%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.78
No
46%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.96 = 2.20
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.08
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
29%3.15
Under 2.5
55%1.75
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.62
Over 10.5
36%2.00
Under 8.5
41%2.85
Under 9.5
54%2.10
Under 10.5
64%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%1.34
Over 4.5
54%1.73
Under 3.5
28%3.06
Under 4.5
46%2.00

Match Events

7'Pedro GabrielFoul
26'Tchê TchêFoul
32'Wallace Gomes da Silva SantosFoul
39'Mathias Villasanti
45+2'CuiabanoFoul
53'Robert RenanFoul
55'Adson INBruno Duarte Da Silva out
55'Paulo Henrique INJose Luis Rodriguez out
58'Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos SantosDissent
61'Jovane Cabral INJuan Nardoni out
71'Tetê INJosé Enamorado out
73'Tchê Tchê INAlan Lescano out
73'Carlos Cuesta INJair out
76'Thiago Mendes
78'Cuiabano INLucas Piton out
80'Facundo ColidioAssist: Bruno Duarte Da Silva
86'Walter Kannemann INMatheus Nascimento out

Lineups

Gremio
4-1-4-1Coach: Luís Castro
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Weverton1WevertonWeverton
Diego Caito27D. CaitoDiego Caito
Wallace82WallaceWallace
W. Kannemann4W. KannemannW. Kannemann
Pedro Gabriel54P. GabrielPedro Gabriel
E. Noriega8E. NoriegaE. Noriega
Tetê11TetêTetê
M. Villasanti20M. VillasantiM. Villasanti
F. Krovinović10F. KrovinovićF. Krovinović
Jovane Cabral77J. CabralJovane Cabral
Carlos Vinícius95C. ViníciusCarlos Vinícius
Léo Jardim1L. JardimLéo Jardim
Paulo Henrique96P. HenriquePaulo Henrique
C. Cuesta46C. CuestaC. Cuesta
Robert Renan30R. RenanRobert Renan
Cuiabano66CuiabanoCuiabano
S. Sosa5S. SosaS. Sosa
Adson28AdsonAdson
Tchê Tchê3T. TchêTchê Tchê
Thiago Mendes23T. MendesThiago Mendes
A. Gómez11A. GómezA. Gómez
F. Colidio9F. ColidioF. Colidio

Gremio Substitutes

30Matheus NascimentoF
5J. NardoniM
14Marcos RochaD
50Bernardo ZorteaM
22M. BraithwaiteF
3Wagner LeonardoD
15Danilo BarbosaM
99J. EnamoradoF
65Riquelme FreitasM
12Gabriel GrandoG
6Gustavo MartinsD
18João PedroD

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

8JairM
17Nuno MoreiraM
6Lucas PitonD
22A. LescanoM
18M. HinestrozaF
19Bruno DuarteF
7DavidF
13Daniel FuzatoG
88Cauan BarrosM
2J. RodríguezD
83Ramon RiqueM
43Lucas FreitasD

Match Stats

GremioVasco DA Gama
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots7
10Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
482Total Passes463
394Passes Accurate387
14Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

GremioGremio
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1633Elo Rating 1711
1.35Attack 1.29
1.87Defense 2.39
36%Hit Rate 58%
11.1Shots per Game 15.9
4.4Shots on Target 5.3
2.9Corners per Game 5.7
3.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend61% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Gremio 39%Draw 19%41% Vasco DA Gama
2.24Avg Goals
61%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gremio and Vasco DA Gama have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.24 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.