Santos vs Mirassol Prediction

Santos
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Mirassol
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos· Edina Alves Batista, Brazil 23/08/2026
SantosSantos
1-1
Finished
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.85
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+6.3%
Santos Rest
2 days
Mirassol Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.85
X
23%3.57
2
20%4.22
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
43%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.75
No
44%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 0.87 = 2.36
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
46%1.90
Over 3.5
24%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
54%1.90
Under 3.5
76%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.33
Over 9.5
40%1.60
Over 10.5
29%1.97
Under 8.5
45%2.94
Under 9.5
60%2.20
Under 10.5
71%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.8 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.26
Over 4.5
50%1.60
Under 3.5
31%3.10
Under 4.5
50%2.17

Match Events

20'Joao Schmidt
22'Gabriel KnesowitschFoul
24'Neto MouraFoul
28'Gabriel Knesowitsch INLucas Oliveira out
36'Eduardo
46'Rony INGabriel Bontempo out
61'Joao Schmidt INB. Rollheiser out
61'G. Cazonatti INWallisson out
61'Eduardo INJapa out
68'A. BarrealAssist: Neymar
73'WallissonHolding
74'A. Barreal INThaciano out
76'Igor FormigaFoul
78'Bruno Santos INCarlos Eduardo out
78'Alesson INFernandinho out
82'Igor Vinicius IND. Fernandes out
82'Gabriel Barbosa ING. Caballero out
88'NeymarFoul

Lineups

Santos
4-2-3-1Coach: Cuca
Mirassol
3-4-1-2Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Gabriel Brazão77G. BrazãoGabriel Brazão
Igor Vinícius18I. ViníciusIgor Vinícius
Willian Arão15W. ArãoWillian Arão
Luan Peres14L. PeresLuan Peres
Gonzalo Escobar31G. EscobarGonzalo Escobar
Gustavinho48GustavinhoGustavinho
João Schmidt5J. SchmidtJoão Schmidt
Rony11RonyRony
Neymar10NeymarNeymar
Álvaro Barreal22Á. BarrealÁlvaro Barreal
Gabriel Barbosa9G. BarbosaGabriel Barbosa
Walter22WalterWalter
Gabriel Knesowitsch44G. KnesowitschGabriel Knesowitsch
João Victor34J. VictorJoão Victor
Willian Machado3W. MachadoWillian Machado
Igor Formiga32I. FormigaIgor Formiga
Gustavo Cazonatti55G. CazonattiGustavo Cazonatti
Neto Moura25N. MouraNeto Moura
Reinaldo6ReinaldoReinaldo
Eduardo33EduardoEduardo
Bruno Santos30B. SantosBruno Santos
Alesson77AlessonAlesson

Santos Substitutes

8Gabriel BontempoM
32Benjamín RollheiserF
16ThacianoM
17Gustavo CaballeroF
27DavizinhoF
34João PauloG
26João Paulo AnaniasD
42João AlencarD
28Christian OlivaM
81Samuel MendesM
30MiguelitoM
21MoisésF

Mirassol Substitutes

2Lucas OliveiraD
5JapaM
80Wallisson LuizM
17FernandinhoF
96Carlos EduardoF
23Alex MuralhaG
12Victor LuisD
20Daniel BorgesD
7ShaylonM
19Gustavo SilvaM
10ChicoM
9André LuisF

Match Stats

SantosMirassol
64%Ball Possession36%
10Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
12Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots0
9Fouls13
2Goalkeeper Saves6
576Total Passes332
499Passes Accurate246
87%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

SantosSantos
MirassolMirassol
1762Elo Rating 1645
1.72Attack 1.30
2.34Defense 1.54
83%Hit Rate 23%
16.7Shots per Game 15.2
5.8Shots on Target 4.9
6.2Corners per Game 7.0
2.4Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+117 Elo
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SantosSantos
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Santos 31%Draw 50%19% Mirassol
3.32Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SantosSantos
3W1D1L
MirassolMirassol
0W1D4L

Referee Profile

Edina Alves Batista, Brazil · 8 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 82% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
12VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
13CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
14BotafogoBotafogo26881038:41-332DDLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio26771228:35-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
12VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
13CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
14BotafogoBotafogo2638:4132
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2628:3528
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Santos vs Mirassol Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Santos have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Santos and Mirassol have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.32 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.