Mirassol vs Palmeiras Prediction

Mirassol
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol·Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Mirassol Rest
7 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days

Mirassol vs Palmeiras: the result in context

Mirassol and Palmeiras drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 30 Aug 2026. Palmeiras had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Mirassol.

Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.60
X
23%3.30
2
43%2.05
Double Chance
1X
57%1.73
X2
66%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.80
No
44%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.24 = 2.41
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
46%2.04
Over 3.5
24%3.56
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.76
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.9 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.29
Over 9.5
53%1.50
Over 10.5
39%1.87
Under 8.5
34%3.27
Under 9.5
47%2.44
Under 10.5
61%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.8 = 4.1
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

50'EduardoAssist: Igor Formiga
70'Neto Moura INJapa out
70'Eduardo ING. Cazonatti out
70'Felipe Anderson INKhellven out
70'Vitor Roque INLucas Evangelista out
75'MauricioAssist: G. Gomez
76'Gustavo Silva INCarlos Eduardo out
79'Alesson INFernandinho out
79'Bruno Santos INAndre Luis out
85'DenilsonRoughing
87'Mauricio INHeittor Vinicius out
90+6'Arthur GabrielTripping
90+8'Arthur GabrielTripping
90+8'Arthur GabrielTripping

Lineups

Mirassol
4-2-3-1Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1Coach: Ferreira Abel
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.85
Walter7.922Walter
Igor Formiga6.632I. Formiga
João VictorC7.334J. Victor
Willian Machado6.93W. Machado
Reinaldo6.96Reinaldo
Neto Moura7.025N. Moura
Denilson7.227Denilson
Gustavo Silva7.219G. Silva
Bruno Santos6.230B. Santos
Alesson6.377Alesson
Eduardo7.933Eduardo
Carlos Miguel7.51C. Miguel
Agustín Giay6.34A. Giay
Gustavo GómezC7.215G. Gómez
Murilo6.926Murilo
Mauricio7.318Mauricio
Marlon Freitas6.917M. Freitas
Andreas Pereira6.98A. Pereira
Arthur Gabriel6.956A. Gabriel
José Manuel López7.242J. Manuel López
Felipe Anderson6.97F. Anderson
Vitor Roque6.59V. Roque

Mirassol Substitutes

23Alex Muralha
44Gabriel Knesowitsch
18Elias
2Lucas Oliveira
12Victor Luis
55Gustavo Cazonatti70'for Eduardo6.5
5Japa70'replaced by Neto Moura6.3
7Shaylon
17Fernandinho79'for Alesson6.7
10Chico
96Carlos Eduardo76'replaced by Gustavo Silva6.6
9André Luis79'for Bruno Santos6.3

Palmeiras Substitutes

14Marcelo Lomba
66André Lucas
12Khellven70'for Felipe Anderson6.3
3Bruno Fuchs
50Luis Pacheco
48Larson
45Erick Belé
32Emiliano Martínez
30Lucas Evangelista70'for Vitor Roque6.6
39Heittor87'for Mauricio6.5
29Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong
37Riquelme Fillipi

Match Stats

MirassolPalmeiras
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
16Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
424Total Passes464
372Passes Accurate374
88%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

MirassolMirassol
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1661Elo Rating 1874
1.07Attack 2.18
1.94Defense 2.59
44%Hit Rate 66%
13.2Shots per Game 17.3
3.3Shots on Target 5.6
4.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

MirassolMirassol2Wins · 25%
Draws113%
PalmeirasPalmeiras5Wins · 62%
2.6Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie A15/03/2026
PalmeirasMirassol
10
Paulista - A118/01/2026
PalmeirasMirassol
10
Serie A10/11/2025
MirassolPalmeiras
21
Serie A17/07/2025
PalmeirasMirassol
11
Paulista - A123/02/2025
MirassolPalmeiras
23
Paulista - A124/02/2024
PalmeirasMirassol
31
Paulista - A102/02/2023
MirassolPalmeiras
02
Paulista - A126/04/2021
PalmeirasMirassol
12

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Mirassol vs Palmeiras forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mirassol and Palmeiras in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Palmeiras are 2nd and Mirassol 14th, 33 points apart. League goal record so far: Mirassol 39-48, Palmeiras 62-23. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.