Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen·Felix Zwayer

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
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Bayer Leverkusen Rest
3 days
1. FC Nürnberg Rest
4 days

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview: form and head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen arrive in slightly better form, with 4 wins from their last five to 2 for 1. FC Nürnberg. It is a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, played on 28 Oct 2026.

Referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.93 cards a game, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.22
X
6.76
2
10.50
Double Chance
1X
1.03
X2
4.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.57
No
2.30
Goals
Over 1.5
1.05
Over 2.5
1.21
Over 3.5
1.62
Under 1.5
8.40
Under 2.5
3.95
Under 3.5
2.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
1938Elo Rating 1693
2.72Attack 1.46
2.27Defense 1.58
100%Hit Rate 31%
21.1Shots per Game 22.0
9.1Shots on Target 6.5
6.4Corners per Game 7.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+245 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Felix Zwayer247 matches

4.93Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Zwayer4.93
Other referees4.20

4.93 cards a match, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 242 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
After extra time
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0
Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue0
1899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1
SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0
Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0
Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
On penalties
Verl0
Hamburger SV3
Würzburger Kickers1
1. FC Köln2
HEBC0
Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1
Bayern München4

About the Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg forecast

As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About DFB Pokal

More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bayer Leverkusen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.