Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
Manchester City vs Brighton in numbers
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Manchester City on 3 wins from their last five and Brighton on 2. They meet in the Premier League on 31 Oct 2026.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Manchester City
BrightonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Manchester City- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
Brighton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Manchester City4Wins · 40%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
28/10/2026Manchester CityBrighton
07/01/2026Manchester CityBrighton31/08/2025BrightonManchester City15/03/2025Manchester CityBrighton09/11/2024BrightonManchester City25/04/2024BrightonManchester City21/10/2023Manchester CityBrighton24/05/2023BrightonManchester City22/10/2022Manchester CityBrighton20/04/2022Manchester CityBrightonRecent Form
Manchester CityManchester CityBrighton
Aston VillaManchester CityManchester City
AEK Athens FCManchester City
IpswichManchester City
Paris Saint Germain
LiverpoolManchester CityManchester City
SunderlandManchester City
Norwich
Manchester UnitedManchester City
FC PortoManchester CityBrightonManchester CityBrightonLiverpoolBrighton
FK JablonecBrightonBrighton
Crystal PalaceBrighton
Kauno ŽalgirisSunderlandBrightonBrighton
ArsenalManchester UnitedBrighton
CoventryBrightonBrighton
LeedsReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).
Cards come from 215 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LWWLD |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | DDLDW |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 6:14 | 5 |
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About the Manchester City vs Brighton forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Manchester City and Brighton in the Premier League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Manchester City are 1st in the Premier League, 5 points ahead of Brighton in 3rd. League goal record so far: Manchester City 20-9, Brighton 23-7. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.